Value
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.7 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 16.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.10
PFGC · Why this verdict
Why Performance Food Group (PFGC) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.4 |
| ROA | 2.0 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.4 |
| Net margin | 0.3 |
| Current ratio | 5.5 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 224% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
7.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.1 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 1.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 0.5 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 8.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 23%
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $7,483,325 (0.049% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.0 |
| quality rank | 2.0 |
| growth rank | 8.0 |
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.2 |
| support resistance | 2.0 |
| 52w position | 7.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.2 |
| days to cover | 8.2 |
| volatility | 5.3 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 2.8 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.4 |
| debt equity | 3.7 |
- ▸High IV: 63%
- ▸Above max pain $55
Catalyst
2.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.1>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:65d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:1.1<1.5@spot
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.1>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
1.13
Upside
+6.7%
Downside
5.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Growth at 7.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:1.1<1.5@spot.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 7.0, Value at 6.8, and Sentiment at 6.0; the weakest are Catalyst at 2.5, Quality at 3.6, and Insider at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.13 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.