The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain merchandising, fertilizers, nutrients) and Renewables (four ethanol plants with 405 million gallon combined capacity). Revenue is driven by commodity handling... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About The Andersons, Inc.
About The Andersons, Inc.
The Andersons runs two segments from approximately 180 locations across the United States, Canada, and six other countries: Agribusiness, which merchandises grain (principally corn, wheat, and soybeans), manufactures nutrients, and operates grain elevators; and Renewables, which operates four ethanol plants in Iowa, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio with combined nameplate capacity of 405 million gallons. The company employs 2,137 people and completed full consolidation of its ethanol operations on July 31, 2025 by acquiring the remaining 49.9% of The Andersons Marathon Holdings.
The Andersons generates margins by buying, conditioning, and selling physical agricultural commodities — earnings accrue through basis appreciation between cash and futures prices, spread between futures contract months, and storage fees at grain elevators. The Renewables segment converts corn into ethanol and co-products; since ethanol prices track petroleum-based gasoline, segment margins depend on the corn-to-energy price spread. The Agribusiness segment also manufactures and distributes potash, phosphate, and nitrogen-based nutrients, inputs subject to volatile global supply and demand. The company manages commodity price risk through exchange-traded futures and options contracts, though basis movements on large inventory positions can significantly affect profitability. For fertilizer procurement, the 10-K notes that large volumes are sourced from a small number of suppliers and purchasing power is important to delivering competitive pricing.
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A significant portion of The Andersons' assets sits in the Eastern Grain Belt, where adverse weather during fertilizer application, planting, and harvest seasons could compress Agribusiness and Renewables margins simultaneously. The Renewables segment faces an additional regulatory inflection: Section 45Z tax credits apply to qualifying fuel produced after December 31, 2024 through December 31, 2029, but the transfer market is described in the 10-K as still developing with credits typically trading at discounts to face value. Corn — identified as the principal raw material for ethanol — exposes the Renewables segment to price volatility that could make ethanol uneconomical to produce if corn prices rise without a corresponding increase in petroleum-based fuel prices.
See also: Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
From The Andersons, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — The Andersons, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Benchmark Maintains Buy on Andersons, Raises Price Target to $90 — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
- NEWS Full Transcript: Andersons Q1 2026 Earnings Call — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Andersons Q1 Adj. EPS $1.12 Beats $0.70 Estimate, Sales $2.626B Miss $2.707B Estimate — benzinga May 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For May 5, 2026 — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommoditycorn10-K Item 1A: 'The principal raw material used to produce ethanol and co-products is corn. As a result, an increase in the price of corn, particularly corn basis, in the absence of a corresponding increase in petroleum-based fuel prices will typically decrease ethanol margins'
- MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of suppliers for raw materials10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a limited number of suppliers for certain of our raw materials and other products and the loss of one or several of these suppliers could increase our costs and have a material adverse effect on any one of our business segments.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $68.87. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $73.47 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $68.87. Stop-loss: $68.87.
Concentration risk — Commodity: corn; Target reached (-6.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).
The Andersons, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover ANDE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $80.
What does The Andersons, Inc. do?The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain...
The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain merchandising, fertilizers, nutrients) and Renewables (four ethanol plants with 405 million gallon combined capacity). Revenue is driven by commodity handling margins, grain elevator operations, and ethanol production; the company operates across approximately 180 U.S. and international locations.