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ANDEThe Andersons, Inc.Sell4.6·$72.63-1.17%
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The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain merchandising, fertilizers, nutrients) and Renewables (four ethanol plants with 405 million gallon combined capacity). Revenue is driven by commodity handling... Read more

$72.63+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#4 of 5 Food Distribution
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-9.23%
IncomeYield1.09%(5y avg 1.72%)Payout21.07%sustainable
Stop $68.87Target $73.47(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$80.00+10.1%3 analysts
$73.47our TP
$72.63price
$80.00mean
$90

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About The Andersons, Inc.

About The Andersons, Inc.

The Andersons runs two segments from approximately 180 locations across the United States, Canada, and six other countries: Agribusiness, which merchandises grain (principally corn, wheat, and soybeans), manufactures nutrients, and operates grain elevators; and Renewables, which operates four ethanol plants in Iowa, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio with combined nameplate capacity of 405 million gallons. The company employs 2,137 people and completed full consolidation of its ethanol operations on July 31, 2025 by acquiring the remaining 49.9% of The Andersons Marathon Holdings.

The Andersons generates margins by buying, conditioning, and selling physical agricultural commodities — earnings accrue through basis appreciation between cash and futures prices, spread between futures contract months, and storage fees at grain elevators. The Renewables segment converts corn into ethanol and co-products; since ethanol prices track petroleum-based gasoline, segment margins depend on the corn-to-energy price spread. The Agribusiness segment also manufactures and distributes potash, phosphate, and nitrogen-based nutrients, inputs subject to volatile global supply and demand. The company manages commodity price risk through exchange-traded futures and options contracts, though basis movements on large inventory positions can significantly affect profitability. For fertilizer procurement, the 10-K notes that large volumes are sourced from a small number of suppliers and purchasing power is important to delivering competitive pricing.

Show full overview

A significant portion of The Andersons' assets sits in the Eastern Grain Belt, where adverse weather during fertilizer application, planting, and harvest seasons could compress Agribusiness and Renewables margins simultaneously. The Renewables segment faces an additional regulatory inflection: Section 45Z tax credits apply to qualifying fuel produced after December 31, 2024 through December 31, 2029, but the transfer market is described in the 10-K as still developing with credits typically trading at discounts to face value. Corn — identified as the principal raw material for ethanol — exposes the Renewables segment to price volatility that could make ethanol uneconomical to produce if corn prices rise without a corresponding increase in petroleum-based fuel prices.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

From The Andersons, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — The Andersons, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: corn
Target reached (-6.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta0.65
Dividend1.09%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$25-65.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycorn
    10-K Item 1A: 'The principal raw material used to produce ethanol and co-products is corn. As a result, an increase in the price of corn, particularly corn basis, in the absence of a corresponding increase in petroleum-based fuel prices will typically decrease ethanol margins'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of suppliers for raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a limited number of suppliers for certain of our raw materials and other products and the loss of one or several of these suppliers could increase our costs and have a material adverse effect on any one of our business segments.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.2
Net Margin
0.6
Roa
1.5
Moat
3.1
Roe
3.3
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.1
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -180% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.35Resistance $74.97

Price Targets

$69
$73
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANDE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $68.87. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANDE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $73.47 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $68.87. Stop-loss: $68.87.

What are the risks of investing in ANDE?

Concentration risk — Commodity: corn; Target reached (-6.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is ANDE overvalued or undervalued?

The Andersons, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ANDE?

9 analysts cover ANDE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $80.

What does The Andersons, Inc. do?The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain...

The Andersons is a North American agriculture and renewable fuels company operating two segments: Agribusiness (grain merchandising, fertilizers, nutrients) and Renewables (four ethanol plants with 405 million gallon combined capacity). Revenue is driven by commodity handling margins, grain elevator operations, and ethanol production; the company operates across approximately 180 U.S. and international locations.

Related stocks: PFGC (Performance Food Group Company) · USFD (US Foods Holding Corp.) · UNFI (United Natural Foods, Inc.) · TAL (TAL Education Group) · SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.)
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