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PENPenumbra, Inc.Sell4.9·$318.01-0.22%
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Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Penumbra designs and sells thrombectomy and embolization medical devices for ischemic stroke, pulmonary embolism, and peripheral vascular disease, generating $1,403.7M in revenue in 2025 (+17.5% YoY). Products are sold through a direct sales organization in the US, Europe,... Read more

$318.01+1.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#34 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.13%
Stop $312.48Target $323.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$363.36+14.3%14 analysts
$323.08our TP
$318.01price
$363.36mean
$374

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)73.6
P/E (Fwd)50.7
Mkt Cap$12.5B
EV/EBITDA59.5
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE12.7%
Rev Growth15.6%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.80bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$200-37.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 22)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
6.9
Growth Rank
7.3
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $317.53Resistance $329.67

Price Targets

$312
$323
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $312.48. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $323.08 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $312.48. Stop-loss: $312.48.

What are the risks of investing in PEN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is PEN overvalued or undervalued?

Penumbra, Inc. trades at a P/E of 73.6 (forward 50.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PEN?

21 analysts cover PEN with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $363.

What does Penumbra, Inc. do?Penumbra designs and sells thrombectomy and embolization medical devices for ischemic stroke, pulmonary embolism, and...

Penumbra designs and sells thrombectomy and embolization medical devices for ischemic stroke, pulmonary embolism, and peripheral vascular disease, generating $1,403.7M in revenue in 2025 (+17.5% YoY). Products are sold through a direct sales organization in the US, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Singapore. A definitive merger agreement with Boston Scientific at $374/share (~$14.5B enterprise value) was signed January 14, 2026.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · PODD (Insulet Corporation) · DXCM (DexCom, Inc.) · BSX (Boston Scientific Corporation) · IRTC (iRhythm Holdings, Inc.)
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