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Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. It offers payroll... Read more

$93.00+1.0% upside
Score 6.1/10Entry $90.79Target $94.29Reward/Risk 0.1:1

TrendMatrix rates Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) as Buy (Wait for Entry) with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $93.00 with +1.0% upside to the $94.29 price target. Overall score: 6.1/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 0.1:1.

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val5.8Qual8.2Grw4.2Mom6.3Sent7.2Ins7.0Peer4.8Tech4.2Risk5.86.1OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)15.3
Mkt Cap$32.5B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn26.4%
ROE40.9%
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta0.89
Dividend4.62%
Analysts23
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAYX stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) as Buy (Wait for Entry) with moderate confidence. Score 6.1/10. Entry target: $90.79.

What is the PAYX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $94.29 (+1.0% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $86.34.

What are the risks of investing in PAYX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is PAYX overvalued or undervalued?

Paychex, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAYX?

23 analysts cover PAYX with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $111.

What does Paychex, Inc. do?Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee...

Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. It offers payroll processing services; payroll tax administration services; employee payment services; and regulatory compliance services. The company provides retirement solutions, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services; HCM solutions from recruiting and hiring to retirement; and talent management and talent acquisition services. In addition, it offers payroll solutions, including calculation, preparation, and delivery of employee payroll checks; production of internal accounting records and management reports; preparation of federal, state, and local payroll tax returns; and collection and remittance of clients' payroll obligations. Further, the company provides workforce management solutions; benefits administration solutions; digital marketplace for earned wages, financial wellness solutions, and voluntary lifestyle benefits; HR support to non-payroll clients through HR Partner Plus solution; and insurance services for property and casualty coverage, such as workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cyber security protection, and commercial auto, as well as health and benefits coverage, including health, dental, vision, and life. Additionally, it offers payroll, employer compliance, HR and employee benefits administration, risk management outsourcing, and both virtual and on-site availability of a professionally trained HR representative, and other solutions to businesses. It markets and sells its services primarily through its direct sales force. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

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40 NEUTRAL
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $89.01Res $101.02

Price Targets

$86
$91
$94
Upside+1.0%
Reward/Risk0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (1.0% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! ASYMMETRY:0.2<2.0
Suitability: Moderate
Momentum 6.3>=5.0
Insider activity: OK
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)
No SEC red flags
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)
Risk/Reward 0.2<2.0