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PAHCPhibro Animal Health CorporatioSell5.7·$37.88
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Phibro Animal Health beat earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with average surprise of 16.7% and a return on equity of 30%, but carries negative free cash flow at 19% of net income and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.2 that raises value-trap warning flags alongside the attractive forward price-to-earnings of 9.7x.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Return On Equity→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Red Flag→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Phibro Animal Health Corporatio (PAHC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $37.88, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Concentration risk — Product: livestock sector.

Phibro Animal Health makes and sells medicated feed additives (antibacterials and anticoccidials), nutritional specialties, vaccines and trace-mineral nutrition products for poultry, cattle, swine and other livestock, plus specialty ingredients for personal care and industrial... Read more

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.25%
IncomeYield1.27%(5y avg 2.07%)Payout19.75%sustainable
Stop $35.23Analyst target $39.95(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$47.00+24.1%3 analysts
$39.95Analyst target
$37.88price
$47.00mean
$55

Sell if holding. At $37.88, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Concentration risk — Product: livestock sector. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Phibro Animal Health Corporatio

About Phibro Animal Health Corporatio

Phibro Animal Health reported net sales of $1.5 billion in the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, up 17% from $1.3 billion, across three segments: Animal Health at $1.2 billion, Mineral Nutrition at $282 million and Performance Products at $74 million. The company markets approximately 790 product lines in approximately 90 countries to approximately 4,800 customers, with the United States contributing 58% of sales and poultry 36% of sales by species.

Animal Health is the profit engine, making up 77% of net sales and 91% of segment Adjusted EBITDA before corporate costs. Within it, medicated feed additives and other products brought in $811 million, nutritional specialties $195 million and vaccines $156 million. Products reach integrated poultry, cattle and swine producers directly or through feed manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and veterinarians. The Zoetis medicated feed additive portfolio, bought on October 31, 2024 for about $297.5 million with term loan borrowings, contributed $358.2 million of net sales in fiscal 2026 against $208.2 million the year before. Mineral Nutrition sells trace minerals such as zinc, manganese and copper, mainly in North America, with pricing largely based on the cost of underlying commodity metals, while Performance Products supplies specialty ingredients to personal care, industrial chemical and catalyst customers. The company is building a companion animal line, including the Restoris canine dental device launched in October 2025.

Show full overview

Regulation of antibacterials is the lens that matters most. The 10-K states that a material portion of sales and gross profits comes from antibacterials and related products, and lists restrictions on antibacterial use in food-producing animals, including FDA Guidance 273, among its risks. The potential FDA withdrawal of approval for the Mecadox (carbadox) swine product is flagged separately, and a new Brazilian framework may change how virginiamycin is sold and used there. Because the company also cites dependence on its Israeli and Brazilian operations and a substantial level of indebtedness, a regulatory setback in a single market could weigh on both earnings and debt-service capacity.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Phibro Animal Health Corporatio's most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: livestock sector
Thin upside margin: 5.5%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn6.6%
ROE29.7%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.42
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.70bullish
IV66%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductantibacterials and other related products
    10-K Item 1A: 'a material portion of our sales and gross profits are generated by antibacterials and other related products'
  • HIGHProductlivestock sector
    10-K Item 1: 'Our business is currently concentrated in the livestock sector.'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryFDA approval of Mecadox (carbadox)
    10-K Item 1A: 'the potential FDA withdrawal of approval of our Mecadox® (carbadox) product'
  • MEDIUMGeographicIsraeli and Brazilian operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'our dependence on our Israeli and Brazilian operations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Macd
2.9
Ma Position
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $35.18Resistance $40.87

Price Targets

$35
$40
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $37.88, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Concentration risk — Product: livestock sector. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $35.23. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAHC stock price target?

Analyst target: $39.95 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $35.23. Stop-loss: $35.23.

What are the risks of investing in PAHC?

Concentration risk — Product: livestock sector; Thin upside margin: 5.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Is PAHC overvalued or undervalued?

Phibro Animal Health Corporatio trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAHC?

9 analysts cover PAHC with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Phibro Animal Health Corporatio do?Phibro Animal Health makes and sells medicated feed additives (antibacterials and anticoccidials), nutritional...

Phibro Animal Health makes and sells medicated feed additives (antibacterials and anticoccidials), nutritional specialties, vaccines and trace-mineral nutrition products for poultry, cattle, swine and other livestock, plus specialty ingredients for personal care and industrial customers. Fiscal 2026 net sales were $1.5 billion, with Animal Health at 77% and the United States at 58%. The October 2024 purchase of Zoetis's feed additive portfolio drove recent growth.

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