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PAHCPhibro Animal Health CorporatioSell5.7·$35.62-2.62%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Phibro Animal Health beat earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters with average surprise of 16.7% and a return on equity of 30%, but carries negative free cash flow at 19% of net income and a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.2 that raises value-trap warning flags alongside the attractive forward price-to-earnings of 9.7x.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Strong Return On EquityStable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Red FlagStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Phibro Animal Health Corporatio (PAHC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. At $35.62, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Concentration risk — Product: virginiamycin.

Phibro Animal Health Corporation is a global animal health and mineral nutrition company that develops, manufactures and markets roughly 800 product lines -- antibacterials, anticoccidials, vaccines, nutritional specialty and mineral nutrition products -- in about 90 countries... Read more

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.33%
IncomeYield1.35%(5y avg 2.55%)Payout19.75%sustainable
Stop $33.13Target $38.28(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$44.00+23.5%5 analysts
$38.28our TP
$35.62price
$44.00mean
$55

Sell if holding. At $35.62, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Concentration risk — Product: virginiamycin. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Phibro Animal Health Corporatio

About Phibro Animal Health Corporatio

Phibro Animal Health generated $1.30 billion in net sales for the year ended June 30, 2025, up 27% from $1.02 billion the prior year, with its Animal Health segment contributing $963 million (74% of total), Mineral Nutrition $253 million, and Performance Products $80 million. The United States accounted for $740 million, or 57% of net sales, followed by Latin America and Canada at 23%, Europe, Middle East and Africa at 12%, and Asia Pacific at 8%.

Phibro sells roughly 800 animal health and mineral nutrition product lines in about 90 countries to approximately 4,500 customers, either directly to integrated poultry, swine and cattle producers or through animal feed manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and veterinarians. Within Animal Health, MFAs and other antibacterial and anticoccidial products made up 67% of segment net sales in fiscal 2025, boosted by the October 2024 acquisition of Zoetis's medicated feed additive portfolio for approximately $297.5 million, which contributed $208.2 million in net sales and added six manufacturing sites in the U.S., Italy and China. Phibro states it is the sole worldwide manufacturer and marketer of virginiamycin, sold under the Stafac, Eskalin and V-Max brands, protected by trade-secret know-how rather than patents. The company also manufactures vaccines at dedicated facilities in Sligo, Ireland and Guarulhos, Brazil, and it discloses that a material portion of its sales and gross profits comes from antibacterials and related products.

Show full overview

Phibro's antibacterial franchise carries a regulatory overhang distinct from ordinary competitive risk: the company flags the potential FDA withdrawal of approval for Mecadox (carbadox), a swine antibacterial, alongside broader restrictions on antibacterial use in food-producing animals tied to FDA Guidance 273 and similar initiatives globally. Because a material portion of Phibro's sales and gross profits come from antibacterials and related MFA products -- the same category that includes both Mecadox and the company's sole-manufactured virginiamycin franchise (Stafac, Eskalin, V-Max) -- a regulatory setback on a single product or ingredient class would concentrate its impact rather than being absorbed across a diversified mix of unrelated product lines.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Phibro Animal Health Corporatio's most recent 10-K filing, extracted September 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: virginiamycin
Thin upside margin: 7.5%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn6.6%
ROE29.7%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.47
Dividend1.35%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.22bearish
IV103%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductvirginiamycin
    10-K Item 1: 'We are the sole worldwide manufacturer and marketer of virginiamycin.'
  • MEDIUMProductantibacterials and other related products
    10-K Item 1A: 'a material portion of our sales and gross profits are generated by antibacterials and other related products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Director Joyce J. Lee informed the company on April 13, 2026 that she intends to resign from the board effective April 15, 2026. Her resignation was not the result of any disagreement with the company on operations, policies or practices.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.3
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.8
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.60Resistance $40.65

Price Targets

$33
$38
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $35.62, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Concentration risk — Product: virginiamycin. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $33.13. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.28 (+7.5% upside). Prior stop was $33.13. Stop-loss: $33.13.

What are the risks of investing in PAHC?

Concentration risk — Product: virginiamycin; Thin upside margin: 7.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Is PAHC overvalued or undervalued?

Phibro Animal Health Corporatio trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAHC?

10 analysts cover PAHC with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Phibro Animal Health Corporatio do?Phibro Animal Health Corporation is a global animal health and mineral nutrition company that develops, manufactures...

Phibro Animal Health Corporation is a global animal health and mineral nutrition company that develops, manufactures and markets roughly 800 product lines -- antibacterials, anticoccidials, vaccines, nutritional specialty and mineral nutrition products -- in about 90 countries to approximately 4,500 customers. The company generated $1.30 billion in net sales for the year ended June 30, 2025, with its Animal Health segment contributing 74% of the total and the United States accounting for 57% of net sales, boosted by its October 2024 acquisition of Zoetis's medicated feed additive portfolio. Ph

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