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OWLBlue Owl Capital Inc.Hold5.6·$9.68-0.41%
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Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4B AUM across Credit ($157.8B), Real Assets ($80.6B), and GP Strategic Capital ($69.1B) platforms, serving institutional and private wealth clients. Approximately 85% of management fees came from Permanent Capital... Read more

$9.68+20.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#51 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield9.50%
IncomeYield9.50%Payout750.00%at-risk
Stop $9.00Target $11.64(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$12.93+33.6%15 analysts
$11.64our TP
$9.68price
$12.93mean
$21

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 20%
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)80.7
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$15.1B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta1.18
Dividend9.50%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.2
Value Rank
3.0
Growth Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.17Resistance $10.74

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+20.2%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OWL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $11.64 (+20.2%), stop $9.00 (−7.6%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OWL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.64 (+20.2% upside). Target $11.64 (+20.2%), stop $9.00 (−7.6%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $9.00.

What are the risks of investing in OWL?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is OWL overvalued or undervalued?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. trades at a P/E of 80.7 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OWL?

20 analysts cover OWL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Blue Owl Capital Inc. do?Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4B AUM across Credit ($157.8B), Real Assets ($80.6B),...

Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4B AUM across Credit ($157.8B), Real Assets ($80.6B), and GP Strategic Capital ($69.1B) platforms, serving institutional and private wealth clients. Approximately 85% of management fees came from Permanent Capital vehicles for the year ended December 31, 2025; the firm employs approximately 1,365 people globally.

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