Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. At $9.96, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Product: Permanent Capital vehicles (85.0%).
Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4 billion AUM as of December 31, 2025, deploying capital across Credit, Real Assets, and GP Strategic Capital platforms on behalf of institutional and private wealth clients. Revenue comes primarily from management... Read more
Sell if holding. At $9.96, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Product: Permanent Capital vehicles (85.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductPermanent Capital vehicles85%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 85% of our management fees were earned from Permanent Capital vehicles'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $9.96, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Product: Permanent Capital vehicles (85.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $9.27. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $11.55 (+15.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.27. Stop-loss: $9.27.
Concentration risk — Product: Permanent Capital vehicles (85.0%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Blue Owl Capital Inc. trades at a P/E of 97.5 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover OWL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.
What does Blue Owl Capital Inc. do?Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4 billion AUM as of December 31, 2025, deploying...
Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4 billion AUM as of December 31, 2025, deploying capital across Credit, Real Assets, and GP Strategic Capital platforms on behalf of institutional and private wealth clients. Revenue comes primarily from management fees, approximately 85% of which were earned from Permanent Capital vehicles. The company employs approximately 1,365 people globally.