Option Care Health, Inc. (OPCH) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: top-4 pharmaceutical vendors (68.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%).
Option Care Health is the largest independent provider of home and alternate site infusion services, operating through 196 locations in 43 states across the U.S. It earns revenue by dispensing pharmaceuticals and managing infusion therapy for patients with complex chronic... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: top-4 pharmaceutical vendors (68.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 12, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliertop-4 pharmaceutical vendors68%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 68% of our pharmaceutical and medical supply purchases were from four vendors'
- HIGHCustomerMCOs and non-governmental payers88%10-K Item 1A: '88% of our revenue came from MCOs and other non-governmental payers, including Medicare Advantage plans, Managed Medicaid plans'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $20.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: top-4 pharmaceutical vendors (68.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 12, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $18.91. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $34.88 (+71.6% upside). Prior stop was $18.91. Stop-loss: $18.91.
Concentration risk — Supplier: top-4 pharmaceutical vendors (68.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: MCOs and non-governmental payers (88.0%); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.
Option Care Health, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover OPCH with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $40.
What does Option Care Health, Inc. do?Option Care Health is the largest independent provider of home and alternate site infusion services, operating through...
Option Care Health is the largest independent provider of home and alternate site infusion services, operating through 196 locations in 43 states across the U.S. It earns revenue by dispensing pharmaceuticals and managing infusion therapy for patients with complex chronic conditions, billing primarily to MCOs, Medicare Advantage, and managed Medicaid plans.