Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the OLN stock price target?

Take-profit $29.58 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $26.64.

Q: What are the risks of investing in OLN?

Target reached (-18.7% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0); Target reached (-18.7% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Q: Is OLN overvalued or undervalued?

Olin Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 36.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about OLN?

20 analysts cover OLN with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $27.

Range Bound setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.66: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality.

$28.66+3.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#5 of 10 Chemicals

Stop $26.64Target $29.58(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1

Analyst target$26.79-6.5%14 analysts

$29.58our TP

$28.66price

$26.79mean

$18

$35

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-18.7% upside)

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)36.1

Mkt Cap$3.2B

EV/EBITDA9.5

Profit Mgn-1.5%

ROE-5.1%

Rev Growth-0.4%

Beta1.37

Dividend2.81%

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish

IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMGeographicoutside United States32%
10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 32% of our sales were generated outside of the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.415%0.96

Quality1.815%0.27

Growth6.215%0.93

Momentum5.710%0.57

Sentiment4.210%0.42

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank5.410%0.54

Technical Setup5.25%0.26

Risk Profile3.85%0.19

Catalyst6.85%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)4.86

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Roa

0.7

Piotroski F

4.4

Current Ratio

4.6

Moat

5.0

No competitive moatQuality concerns

GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

45 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.75Resistance $30.18

Price Targets

$27

$30

A.Upside+3.2%

A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.7% upside)

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is OLN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.66: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $26.64. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.58 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $26.64. Stop-loss: $26.64.

What are the risks of investing in OLN?

Target reached (-18.7% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is OLN overvalued or undervalued?

Olin Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 36.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OLN?

20 analysts cover OLN with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Olin Corporation do?Olin is a vertically integrated global manufacturer of chemical products and a leading U.S. ammunition maker, operating...

Olin is a vertically integrated global manufacturer of chemical products and a leading U.S. ammunition maker, operating through Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (54% of 2025 sales), Epoxy (20%), and Winchester ammunition (26%) segments. Revenue comes from selling chlorine, caustic soda, epoxy materials, and ammunition to industrial and consumer markets. The company has been in the chlor alkali industry for approximately 135 years.