Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Wait for pullback to $82.61. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $84.51. Engine's entry $82.61 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. and subsidiaries (collectively referred to as the "Company" or "Ollie's") is a leading off-price retailer of brand name household products. Since our founding in 1982, the Company's mission has been to sell Good Stuff Cheap®. We do this... Read more
Wait for pullback to $82.61. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $84.51. Engine's entry $82.61 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-16Item 5.02MEDIUMOn March 10, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") accepted Kevin McLain's notice of his planned retirement, which is effective May 1, 2026. Mr.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $82.61. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $84.51. Engine's entry $82.61 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $124.56 (+47.4%), stop $75.22 (−12.4%), Setup A.R:R 7.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $124.56 (+54.0% upside). Target $124.56 (+47.4%), stop $75.22 (−12.4%), Setup A.R:R 7.7:1. Stop-loss: $75.22.
Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings trades at a P/E of 22.2 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
22 analysts cover OLLI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $138.
What does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings do?Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. and subsidiaries (collectively referred to as the "Company" or "Ollie's") is a...
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. and subsidiaries (collectively referred to as the "Company" or "Ollie's") is a leading off-price retailer of brand name household products. Since our founding in 1982, the Company's mission has been to sell Good Stuff Cheap®. We do this through a flexible buying model that focuses on closeout merchandise and excess inventory from suppliers and manufacturers around the world.