BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I (BJ) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.57: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
BJ's Wholesale Club operates 263 membership warehouse clubs in 21 states concentrated in the eastern U.S., offering groceries, general merchandise, and gasoline at up to 25% savings vs. traditional supermarkets. 8M+ members pay $60-$120 annual fees; membership fee income was... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.57: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
About BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I
About BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I
BJ's Wholesale Club generated $499.8 million in membership fee income during fiscal 2025, operating 263 large-format warehouse clubs across 21 states and serving over 8 million paid members with 35,000 full-time and part-time employees. The New York metropolitan area contributed 23% of net sales; private label brands Wellsley Farms and Berkley Jensen accounted for approximately 27% of total net sales excluding gasoline. In its originating New England market, BJ's operates nearly three times the number of clubs as its next largest warehouse club competitor.
The membership model generates revenue from two sources: annual fees (Club at $60, Club+ at $120) that fund aggressive merchandise pricing, and sales across perishables, grocery, and sundries (approximately 87% of merchandise sales) plus general merchandise and services (approximately 13%). Club+ members and co-branded Mastercard cardholders represented 42% of the member base and 52% of merchandise spend in fiscal 2025, compared to 39% and 50%, respectively, in fiscal 2024. BJ's competes directly against Sam's Club (a division of Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.) and Costco Wholesale Corporation, both of which operate on a multi-national basis with greater financial and marketing resources. Since warehouse clubs sell at thin margins relative to traditional retailers, small changes in merchandise purchase prices could adversely affect operating profits — a risk that is particularly acute because price increases often cannot be passed through to members.
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The New York metropolitan area's 23% share of net sales makes it the most material single-geography exposure in the portfolio. The 10-K identifies this region — 46 clubs spanning Long Island, the mid- and lower Hudson Valley, north and central New Jersey, three counties in western Connecticut, and five counties in northeastern Pennsylvania — as a concentration where any substantial slowing or sustained decline could materially adversely affect business and financial results. Slower comparable club sales growth, higher labor, healthcare, or energy costs, cannibalization from new club openings within the market, and adverse weather events such as hurricanes or heavy snowstorms are each identified as specific downside drivers for this geography.
See also: Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
From BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I
Latest news
- NEWS Trump Approval Hits New Low Of 39%: Record High Stock Prices Not Impressing Majority Of Voters — benzinga May 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Costco Q3 Preview: Stock Could Hit $1,200 Or Fall To $960, Market Expert Says 'Prudent To Wait This One Out' — benzinga May 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on BJ's Wholesale Club Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $100 — benzinga May 26, 2026 neutral
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on BJ's Wholesale Club Hldgs, Raises Price Target to $98 — benzinga May 26, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Transcript: BJ's Wholesale Club Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call — benzinga May 26, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicNew York metropolitan area23%10-K Item 1A: 'Our financial and operational performance is dependent on our operations in the New York metropolitan area, which accounted for 23% of net sales in fiscal year 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.57: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $83.30. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $90.99 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $83.30. Stop-loss: $83.30.
Target reached (1.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts cover BJ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $101.
What does BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, I do?BJ's Wholesale Club operates 263 membership warehouse clubs in 21 states concentrated in the eastern U.S., offering...
BJ's Wholesale Club operates 263 membership warehouse clubs in 21 states concentrated in the eastern U.S., offering groceries, general merchandise, and gasoline at up to 25% savings vs. traditional supermarkets. 8M+ members pay $60-$120 annual fees; membership fee income was $499.8M in fiscal 2025 with over 25 consecutive years of growth.