Dollar General Corporation (DG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Sell if holding. At $106.42, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Consumables (82.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).
Dollar General is the largest US discount retailer by store count with 20,893 stores in 48 states and Mexico as of early 2026, targeting low-income consumers with everyday-low-price merchandise (typically $10 or less). Consumables represent 82% of net sales; approximately 75% of... Read more
Sell if holding. At $106.42, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Consumables (82.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Dollar General Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS UBS reiterates Dollar General stock rating on improving trends - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Dollar General (DG) stock drops despite market gains: Important facts to note - MSN — MSN negative
- NEWS Dollar General (DG) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Dollar General (NYSE:DG) Reports Q1 CY2026 In Line With Expectations - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Dollar General (DG) Tops Q1 Earnings Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductConsumables82%10-K Item 1: 'Consumables| | 82.0| %'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-24Item 5.02MEDIUMJerry Fleeman, age 52, hired as CEO-designate to succeed Todd Vasos effective January 1, 2027. Vasos continues as CEO until then and serves as Senior Advisor through April 2, 2027. Fleeman previously CEO of Ahold Delhaize USA.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $106.42, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Consumables (82.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Prior stop was $99.34. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $118.12 (+10.6% upside). Prior stop was $99.34. Stop-loss: $99.34.
Concentration risk — Product: Consumables (82.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.
Dollar General Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
39 analysts cover DG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $131.
What does Dollar General Corporation do?Dollar General is the largest US discount retailer by store count with 20,893 stores in 48 states and Mexico as of...
Dollar General is the largest US discount retailer by store count with 20,893 stores in 48 states and Mexico as of early 2026, targeting low-income consumers with everyday-low-price merchandise (typically $10 or less). Consumables represent 82% of net sales; approximately 75% of the U.S. population lives within five miles of a store.