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Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Stock Analysis

HoldHigh Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various... Read more

$189.05+14.9% upside
Score 4.2/10Target $217.19Reward/Risk 1.5:1

TrendMatrix rates Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) as Hold with high confidence. The stock trades at $189.05 with +14.9% upside to the $217.19 price target. Overall score: 4.2/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 1.5:1.

Passes 3/4 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val3.3Qual6.6Grw0.6Mom5.2Sent4.4Ins3.3Peer4.6Tech6.7Risk4.14.2OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Earnings catalyst in 28 days
+ Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5
- Weak overall score: 4.2/10

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)38.2
P/E (Fwd)30.7
Mkt Cap$38.7B
EV/EBITDA22.7
Profit Mgn18.6%
ROE23.9%
Rev Growth-5.7%
Beta1.22
Dividend0.62%
Analysts32
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ODFL stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) as Hold with high confidence. Score 4.2/10.

What is the ODFL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $217.19 (+14.9% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $170.77.

What are the risks of investing in ODFL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.2/10.

Is ODFL overvalued or undervalued?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.2 (forward 30.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ODFL?

32 analysts cover ODFL with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $199.

What does Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. do?Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America....

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. In addition, the company operates fleet maintenance centers. As of December 31, 2025, it owned and operated 10,184 tractors, 30,824 linehaul trailers, and 14,313 pickup and delivery trailers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.

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33 NEUTRAL
<20d50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $176.05Res $221.62

Price Targets

$171
$217
Upside+14.9%
Reward/Risk1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (-10.4% upside)
! ASYMMETRY:-1.5=NEGATIVE
CATALYSTSuitability: Moderate
Momentum 5.2>=5.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Risk/Reward -1.5=NEGATIVE