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SNDRSchneider National, Inc.Sell5.1·$38.17-1.52%
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Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.17: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality.

Schneider National is a leading North American multimodal transportation and logistics provider with three segments: Truckload, Intermodal, and Logistics. The company serves approximately 7,400 customers including 136 Fortune 500 companies and managed approximately $2.2B of... Read more

$38.17+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 9 Trucking
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.70%
IncomeYield1.03%(5y avg 1.35%)Payout68.75%
Stop $35.59Target $38.48(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$33.36-12.6%14 analysts
$38.48our TP
$38.17price
$33.36mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.17: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-23.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)69.2
P/E (Fwd)25.2
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE3.3%
Rev Growth-0.2%
Beta1.19
Dividend1.03%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$15-60.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the amended and restated 2017 Omnibus Incentive Plan at the April 30, 2026 annual meeting, increasing shares authorized by 19,900,000. Routine compensatory arrangement approval.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
4.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Operating Margin
1.0
Roe
1.1
Roa
1.3
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
6.8
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 187% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
86 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.59Resistance $39.27

Price Targets

$36
$38
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.17: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.59. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.48 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $35.59. Stop-loss: $35.59.

What are the risks of investing in SNDR?

Target reached (-23.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is SNDR overvalued or undervalued?

Schneider National, Inc. trades at a P/E of 69.2 (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNDR?

22 analysts cover SNDR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Schneider National, Inc. do?Schneider National is a leading North American multimodal transportation and logistics provider with three segments:...

Schneider National is a leading North American multimodal transportation and logistics provider with three segments: Truckload, Intermodal, and Logistics. The company serves approximately 7,400 customers including 136 Fortune 500 companies and managed approximately $2.2B of third-party freight through its logistics segment in 2025.

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