NVR, Inc. (NVR) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6220.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.5/10.
Our primary business is the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings, all of which are primarily constructed on a pre-sold basis. To more fully serve customers of our homebuilding operations, we also operate a mortgage banking... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6220.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.5/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Revenue shrinking — -21.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6220.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.5/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $7148.61 (+14.9%), stop $6009.30 (−3.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $7148.61 (+14.9% upside). Target $7148.61 (+14.9%), stop $6009.30 (−3.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $6009.30.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.5/10; Weak growth.
NVR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
12 analysts cover NVR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $7070.
What does NVR, Inc. do?Our primary business is the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings,...
Our primary business is the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings, all of which are primarily constructed on a pre-sold basis. To more fully serve customers of our homebuilding operations, we also operate a mortgage banking and title services business. We conduct our homebuilding activities directly. Our mortgage banking operations are operated primarily through a wholly owned subsidiary, NVR Mortgage Finance, Inc. ("NVRM").