NVR, Inc. (NVR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6374.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10.
Our primary business is the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings, all of which are primarily constructed on a pre-sold basis. To more fully serve customers of our homebuilding operations, we also operate a mortgage banking... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6374.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — NVR, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS NVR slides 4.9% after Q1 profit and revenue drop sharply on weaker settlements and margin pressure - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS NVR (NYSE:NVR) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q1 CY2026 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory negative
- NEWS BTIG cuts NVR stock price target on lower margin expectations - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS NVR (NYSE: NVR) Q1 2026 earnings: net income down 34% on softer margins - Stock Titan — Stock Titan negative
- NEWS NVR stock slides after Q1 earnings disappoint (NVR:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-15Item 5.02MEDIUMName and Principal Position | Options Granted Paul C. Saville, Executive Chairman of the Board | 5,238 Eugene J. Bredow, President and Chief Executive Officer | 5,238 Daniel D. Malzahn, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer | 2,670 Matthew B.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -21.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6374.93 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $6053.11. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $6394.50 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $6053.11. Stop-loss: $6053.11.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.
NVR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover NVR with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $7070.
What does NVR, Inc. do?Our primary business is the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings,...
Our primary business is the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings, all of which are primarily constructed on a pre-sold basis. To more fully serve customers of our homebuilding operations, we also operate a mortgage banking and title services business. We conduct our homebuilding activities directly. Our mortgage banking operations are operated primarily through a wholly owned subsidiary, NVR Mortgage Finance, Inc. ("NVRM").