NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the NJR stock price target?

Entry $53.52, take-profit $56.55 (+5.7% upside). Target $56.55 (+0.4%), stop $51.58 (−9.2%), A.R:R -1.7:1.

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

New Jersey Resources is a diversified energy holding company with four segments: Natural Gas Distribution (NJNG, regulated utility serving NJ counties), Clean Energy Ventures (solar investments), Energy Services (wholesale natural gas management), and Storage and Transportation... Read more

$56.33+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas

Entry $53.52(5% below current)Stop $51.58Target $56.55(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1

Analyst target$59.33+5.3%6 analysts

$56.55our TP

$56.33price

$59.33mean

$51

$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $56.34 has reached target $56.55. No upside to wait for. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (2.4% away)

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4

P/E (Fwd)16.4

Mkt Cap$5.7B

EV/EBITDA14.0

Profit Mgn15.2%

ROE13.7%

Rev Growth23.9%

Beta0.56

Dividend3.37%

Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C3.86bearish

IV34%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMSupplierTETCO and Transcontinental Pipeline third-party infrastructure
10-K Item 1A: 'third-party pipelines or other midstream facilities interconnected to our gathering or transportation system, such as the TETCO or Transcontinental Pipeline, becoming partially or fully unavailable'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.715%0.85

Quality4.815%0.72

Growth4.515%0.67

Momentum5.410%0.54

Sentiment6.710%0.67

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank6.910%0.69

Technical Setup6.15%0.30

Risk Profile6.45%0.32

Catalyst7.05%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.63

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

53 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.88Resistance $57.70

Price Targets

$52

$54

$57

A.Upside+0.4%

A.R:R-1.7:1

Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NJR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $56.34 has reached target $56.55. No upside to wait for. Target $56.55 (+0.4%), stop $51.58 (−9.2%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NJR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.55 (+5.7% upside). Target $56.55 (+0.4%), stop $51.58 (−9.2%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $51.58.

What are the risks of investing in NJR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is NJR overvalued or undervalued?

NewJersey Resources Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NJR?

10 analysts cover NJR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $59.

What does NewJersey Resources Corporation do?New Jersey Resources is a diversified energy holding company with four segments: Natural Gas Distribution (NJNG,...