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Spire Inc. (SR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

Spire Inc. is a natural gas utility holding company serving customers in Missouri, Alabama, Mississippi, and Gulf regions through its Gas Utility segment, plus gas marketing and midstream transportation/storage operations. The utilities are regulated by the MoPSC, APSC, and... Read more

$90.92+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#6 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
Stop $87.33Target $93.40(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$99.50+9.4%8 analysts
$93.40our TP
$90.92price
$99.50mean
$87
$106

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)16.3
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn11.1%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth13.9%
Beta0.62
Dividend3.62%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMregulatoryMoPSC (Missouri)
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Utilities are regulated in Missouri by the MoPSC, in Alabama by the APSC, and in Mississippi by the MSPSC'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryAPSC (Alabama)
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Utilities are regulated in Missouri by the MoPSC, in Alabama by the APSC, and in Mississippi by the MSPSC'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $88.40Resistance $95.31

Price Targets

$87
$93
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $87.33. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.40 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $87.33. Stop-loss: $87.33.

What are the risks of investing in SR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is SR overvalued or undervalued?

Spire Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SR?

16 analysts cover SR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Spire Inc. do?Spire Inc. is a natural gas utility holding company serving customers in Missouri, Alabama, Mississippi, and Gulf...

Spire Inc. is a natural gas utility holding company serving customers in Missouri, Alabama, Mississippi, and Gulf regions through its Gas Utility segment, plus gas marketing and midstream transportation/storage operations. The utilities are regulated by the MoPSC, APSC, and MSPSC; earnings are seasonally concentrated in the winter heating months.

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