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CTRICenturi Holdings, Inc.Sell5.2·$30.08+1.18%
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Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.08: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.29; Below-average business quality.

Centuri Holdings provides maintenance, replacement, and installation services to electric and gas utility infrastructure in 46 U.S. states and six Canadian provinces through 9,687 employees at 97 locations. Approximately 78% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from long-term master... Read more

$30.08+6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-1.02%
Stop $28.23Target $32.26(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$37.08+23.3%6 analysts
$32.26our TP
$30.08price
$37.08mean
$46

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.08: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.29; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Centuri Holdings, Inc.

About Centuri Holdings, Inc.

Centuri Holdings served over 400 customers during fiscal 2025 through four segments—U.S. Gas Utility Services, Canadian Operations, Union Electric Utility Services, and Non-Union Electric Utility Services—spanning 97 locations in 46 U.S. states and six Canadian provinces with 9,687 employees. The top 20 customers, almost exclusively investment-grade utilities including American Electric Power, Enbridge, and National Grid, represented 65% of fiscal 2025 revenues, and long-term master service agreements comprised approximately 78% of total revenue.

Centuri earns revenue through variable-priced contracts: 56% from unit-priced work and 23% from time-and-materials arrangements, with fixed-price contracts at 21% of fiscal 2025 revenues. The U.S. Gas segment maintains and replaces natural gas distribution infrastructure in both union and non-union markets across the United States. Canadian Operations covers gas and electric utilities in six provinces. Union Electric and Non-Union Electric address urban transmission and local distribution under separate labor models, with Union Electric also providing heavy industrial civil, mechanical, and fabrication services. Named competitors include Quanta Services, MYR Group, Mastec, Primoris Services Corporation, and Everus Construction Group.

Show full overview

With 48% of fiscal 2025 revenues from the top 10 customers and 65% from the top 20, Centuri's revenue is concentrated in a small group of investment-grade utilities. The 10-K notes that MSAs do not require customers to commit to minimum service volumes and may be cancelled on 30 days' notice for convenience, with specific purchase orders withdrawable on 48 hours' notice. If one or more significant customers redirected work to in-house service organizations—an option the 10-K explicitly flags as a risk—revenues could weigh on profitability. Backlog under MSAs is not a contractual commitment and may differ materially from actual revenue realized.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

From Centuri Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Centuri Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)82.6
P/E (Fwd)29.5
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE4.4%
Rev Growth31.5%
Beta1.06
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C11.29bearish
IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers48%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 48% of our revenues were generated collectively from our top ten customers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 8 to 9 members; Steven E. Nielsen elected to fill new vacancy, effective March 20, 2026. Nielsen is former CEO of Dycom Industries (1999-2024). Routine board addition, no departure, no reason cited beyond filling the new seat.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.5
Roe
1.5
Roa
2.1
Moat
4.9
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
6.6
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -99% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.97Resistance $32.47

Price Targets

$28
$32
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.08: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.29; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $28.23. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.26 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $28.23. Stop-loss: $28.23.

What are the risks of investing in CTRI?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is CTRI overvalued or undervalued?

Centuri Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 82.6 (forward 29.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTRI?

14 analysts cover CTRI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Centuri Holdings, Inc. do?Centuri Holdings provides maintenance, replacement, and installation services to electric and gas utility...

Centuri Holdings provides maintenance, replacement, and installation services to electric and gas utility infrastructure in 46 U.S. states and six Canadian provinces through 9,687 employees at 97 locations. Approximately 78% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from long-term master service agreements; the top 20 customers—almost exclusively investment-grade utilities—represented 65% of fiscal 2025 revenues.

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