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NEWPNew Pacific Metals Corp.Sell4.2·$5.64
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

New Pacific Metals is a pre-revenue silver company with a 33% gap to the analyst target, but it burns cash, scores very low on quality and carries high volatility.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Target Upside→Stable
  • Above 200 Day Average Weak Volume↓Deteriorating
  • High Volatility Profile→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 2.5/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)

New Pacific Metals Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Bolivia. The company primarily explores silver and gold deposits. Its flagship property is the 100% owned Silver Sand property, which covers an area of... Read more

$5.64+34.5% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#5 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-0.51%
Stop $5.25Analyst target $7.59(−15% haircut)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst consensus$8.93+58.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 2.5/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — New Pacific Metals Corp.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:51Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 13, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-5.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 26.4), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.07% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-223.1
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA-205.0
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-2.9%
Rev Growth—
Beta2.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

IV91%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 6.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
1.3
Days To Cover
3.1
Short Interest
8.2
High IV: 91%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Macd
2.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.39Resistance $6.84

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+34.5%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-5.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 26.4), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.07% of cap)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-13 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEWP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.64: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 2.5/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.25. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEWP stock price target?

Analyst target: $7.59 (+34.5% upside). Prior stop was $5.25. Stop-loss: $5.25.

What are the risks of investing in NEWP?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-5.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 26.4), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.07% of cap).

Is NEWP overvalued or undervalued?

New Pacific Metals Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -223.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEWP?

10 analysts cover NEWP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $9.

What does New Pacific Metals Corp. do?New Pacific Metals Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral...

New Pacific Metals Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Bolivia. The company primarily explores silver and gold deposits. Its flagship property is the 100% owned Silver Sand property, which covers an area of 5.42 square kilometers located in the Potosí Department, in Southwestern Bolivia. The company was formerly known as New Pacific Holdings Corp. and changed its name to New Pacific Metals Corp. in July 2017. New Pacific Metals Corp. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: AG (First Majestic Silver Corp.) · SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) · AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
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