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AGFirst Majestic Silver Corp.Hold6.3·$17.65+4.31%
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First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately... Read more

$17.65+29.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 3 Silver
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.44%
IncomeYield0.20%(5y avg 0.26%)Payout3.86%sustainable
Stop $16.41Target $22.84(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$26.88+52.3%2 analysts
$22.84our TP
$17.65price
$26.88mean
$31

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.9
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn19.5%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth95.4%
Beta2.07
Dividend0.20%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
4.3
Rsi
4.5
Obv
6.2
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+10.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
6.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.9
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 20.0%
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.62Resistance $21.38

Price Targets

$16
$23
A.Upside+29.4%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $22.84 (+29.4%), stop $16.41 (−7.6%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.84 (+29.4% upside). Target $22.84 (+29.4%), stop $16.41 (−7.6%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $16.41.

What are the risks of investing in AG?

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is AG overvalued or undervalued?

First Majestic Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 29.9 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AG?

13 analysts cover AG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $27.

What does First Majestic Silver Corp. do?First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties...

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately 71,867 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico; the Santa Elena silver/gold mine that covers an area of approximately 102,244 hectares located in Sonora State, Mexico; the Los Gatos Silver Mine covering an area of approximately 103,000 hectares located in Chihuahua, Mexico; and the La Encantada silver mine that covers an area of approximately 4,076 hectares located in Coahuila State, Mexico. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited)
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