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SVMSilvercorp Metals Inc.Hold6.6·$9.30+1.86%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Silvercorp Metals has a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 96% year-over-year revenue growth, and a Rule of 40 score of 117, making it an elite-quality silver producer by financial health metrics, though the stock trades at essentially its analyst consensus target with minimal near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest At TargetDeteriorating
  • Silver Exposure Commodity VolatilityStable
  • Perfect Piotroski Wide Moat QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp... Read more

$9.30+29.9% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.47%
IncomeYield0.27%(5y avg 0.70%)Payout22.73%sustainable
Stop $8.67Target $12.11(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$14.25+53.2%2 analysts
$12.11our TP
$9.30price
$14.25mean
$15

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.5
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn-2.3%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth96.2%
Beta1.97
Dividend0.27%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.50Resistance $10.85

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+29.9%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SVM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $12.11 (+30.2%), stop $8.67 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SVM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.11 (+29.9% upside). Target $12.11 (+30.2%), stop $8.67 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $8.67.

What are the risks of investing in SVM?

Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is SVM overvalued or undervalued?

Silvercorp Metals Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SVM?

9 analysts cover SVM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Silvercorp Metals Inc. do?Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in...

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp Metals Inc. in May 2005. Silvercorp Metals Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: AG (First Majestic Silver Corp.) · AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
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