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SVMSilvercorp Metals Inc.Buy Wait6.3·$11.91-1.73%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Silvercorp Metals has a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 96% year-over-year revenue growth, and a Rule of 40 score of 117, making it an elite-quality silver producer by financial health metrics, though the stock trades at essentially its analyst consensus target with minimal near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest At TargetDeteriorating
  • Silver Exposure Commodity VolatilityStable
  • Perfect Piotroski Wide Moat QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Wait for pullback to $11.20. At $11.91 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $11.20 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.7× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.07× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 5.3%.

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp... Read more

$11.91+5.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.25%
IncomeYield0.21%(5y avg 0.70%)Payout22.73%sustainable
Entry $11.20(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $9.92Target $12.54(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$14.75+23.8%2 analysts
$12.54our TP
$11.91price
$14.75mean
$16

Wait for pullback to $11.20. At $11.91 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $11.20 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.7× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.07× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 5.3%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=7.7x,ratio=0.07x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.7× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.07× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Thin upside margin: 5.3%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)108.3
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth70.5%
Beta2.04
Dividend0.21%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV82%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=7.7x,ratio=0.07xInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.40Resistance $13.66

Price Targets

$10
$11
$13
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=7.7x,ratio=0.07x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SVM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $11.20. At $11.91 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $11.20 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.7× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.07× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 5.3%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $12.54 (+5.3%), stop $9.92 (−20.1%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SVM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.54 (+5.3% upside). Target $12.54 (+5.3%), stop $9.92 (−20.1%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $9.92.

What are the risks of investing in SVM?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.7× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.07× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is SVM overvalued or undervalued?

Silvercorp Metals Inc. trades at a P/E of 108.3 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SVM?

9 analysts cover SVM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Silvercorp Metals Inc. do?Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in...

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp Metals Inc. in May 2005. Silvercorp Metals Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · AG (First Majestic Silver Corp.) · NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
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