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SVMSilvercorp Metals Inc.Buy Wait6.4·$8.61
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Silvercorp Metals has a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 96% year-over-year revenue growth, and a Rule of 40 score of 117, making it an elite-quality silver producer by financial health metrics, though the stock trades at essentially its analyst consensus target with minimal near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest At Target↓Deteriorating
  • Silver Exposure Commodity Volatility→Stable
  • Perfect Piotroski Wide Moat Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityAI GATE: FLAGGED — 1 risk, 1 concernModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $8.36. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.61. Engine's entry $8.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp... Read more

$8.61+43.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#3 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.73%
IncomeYield0.29%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout22.73%sustainable
Entry $8.36(support + ATR (held))Stop $7.90Target $12.32(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst consensus$14.50+68.4%2 analysts
$12.32our TP
$8.61price
$14.50mean
$15

Wait for pullback to $8.36. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.61. Engine's entry $8.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d and materials cycle peak fwd=6.0x,ratio=0.08x. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)78.3
P/E (Fwd)6.0
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth70.5%
Beta2.04
Dividend0.29%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.0
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=6.0x,ratio=0.08xA.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.14Resistance $10.84

Price Targets

$8
$8
$12
A.Upside+43.1%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=6.0x,ratio=0.08x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SVM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $8.36. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.61. Engine's entry $8.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $12.32 (+43.1%), stop $7.90 (−9.0%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SVM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.32 (+43.1% upside). Target $12.32 (+43.1%), stop $7.90 (−9.0%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Stop-loss: $7.90.

What are the risks of investing in SVM?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 6.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is SVM overvalued or undervalued?

Silvercorp Metals Inc. trades at a P/E of 78.3 (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SVM?

9 analysts cover SVM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Silvercorp Metals Inc. do?Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in...

Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp Metals Inc. in May 2005. Silvercorp Metals Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: AG (First Majestic Silver Corp.) · AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation) · NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
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