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EXKEndeavour Silver CorporationSell6.4·$10.23-2.76%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Endeavour Silver offers a substantial valuation discount — with analyst targets implying roughly 51% upside and a forward multiple of approximately 7 times earnings — and a long-term moving average that remains in an upward slope despite a near-term pullback, but below-average business quality, thin free cash flow margins, and an inconsistent recent earnings track record limit the conviction warranted by the headline valuation opportunity.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Valuation Discount Analyst UpsideImproving
  • Below Average Quality Limits ConvictionStable
  • Long Term Uptrend PullbackDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Endeavour Silver Corporation (EXK) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Silver

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.16× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Endeavour Silver Corp., a silver mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mineral properties in Mexico, Chile, Peru, and the United States. It primarily explores for gold and silver deposits, and... Read more

$10.23+29.4% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 6 Silver
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.24%
Stop $9.47Target $13.17(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$15.50+51.5%3 analysts
$13.17our TP
$10.23price
$15.50mean
$17

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.16× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and materials cycle peak fwd=8.3x,ratio=0.16x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.16× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.9
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE10.6%
Rev Growth139.4%
Beta2.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV80%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
4.0
Growth Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.3
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5MATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=8.3x,ratio=0.16xA.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.65Resistance $11.65

Price Targets

$9
$13
A.Upside+29.4%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=8.3x,ratio=0.16x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.16× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.47. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.17 (+29.4% upside). Prior stop was $9.47. Stop-loss: $9.47.

What are the risks of investing in EXK?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.3× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.16× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is EXK overvalued or undervalued?

Endeavour Silver Corporation trades at a P/E of 50.9 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXK?

11 analysts cover EXK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Endeavour Silver Corporation do?Endeavour Silver Corp., a silver mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, extraction,...

Endeavour Silver Corp., a silver mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mineral properties in Mexico, Chile, Peru, and the United States. It primarily explores for gold and silver deposits, and precious metals, as well as polymetals. The company was formerly known as Endeavour Gold Corp. and changed its name to Endeavour Silver Corp. in September 2004. Endeavour Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.) · SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) · AG (First Majestic Silver Corp.) · NEWP (New Pacific Metals Corp.) · HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.)
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