Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $263.58 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away).
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company operating approximately 3.0M bpd of crude oil refining capacity across Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions. It also owns ~64% of MPLX LP (midstream) and produces renewable diesel;... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $263.58 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-14Recent Developments — Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS MPC Maintained by Mizuho -- Price Target Raised to $284 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Marathon Petroleum Insiders Sell US$2.3m Of Stock, Possibly Signalling Caution - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Marathon Petroleum Corp. stock outperforms competitors despite losses on the day - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- NEWS Marathon Petroleum Corp. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- NEWS Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Reaches New 12-Month High - Should You Buy? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-13Item 1.02MEDIUMMPC terminated its 2022 Revolving Credit Agreement on April 7, 2026, replacing it with a new $5B five-year revolving credit facility. No borrowings were outstanding at termination.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-13Item 1.01LOWMPC entered into a new $5B five-year revolving credit agreement on April 7, 2026 (matures April 7, 2031) for general corporate purposes. Replaces the 2022 credit agreement; no borrowings outstanding.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-13Item 2.03LOWCreation of direct financial obligation: $5B unsecured revolving credit facility entered April 7, 2026, maturing April 7, 2031, for general corporate purposes. No amounts drawn at signing.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $263.58 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $245.64. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $267.01 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $245.64. Stop-loss: $245.64.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.3% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover MPC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $268.
What does Marathon Petroleum Corporation do?Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company operating approximately 3.0M bpd of...
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company operating approximately 3.0M bpd of crude oil refining capacity across Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions. It also owns ~64% of MPLX LP (midstream) and produces renewable diesel; refined products are sold to ~7,882 Marathon-branded outlets and wholesale customers.