Value
9.2/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.9 |
| P/S | 9.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.4 |
| PEG | 9.7 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.9x
- ▸PEG: 0.55
- ▸Attractively valued
MHO · Why this verdict
Why M/I Homes (MHO) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.9 |
| ROA | 4.3 |
| Gross margin | 0.3 |
| Op margin | 3.6 |
| Net margin | 4.1 |
| Current ratio | 5.1 |
| FCF quality | 3.8 |
| Moat | 3.9 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 48% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
3.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.1 |
| EPS growth | 5.2 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -6%
Momentum
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.2 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 1.5 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 77)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $228,774 (0.006% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.2 |
| quality rank | 4.4 |
| growth rank | 6.3 |
Technical
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.8 |
| support resistance | 1.9 |
| 52w position | 7.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.0 |
| days to cover | 5.3 |
| volatility | 5.2 |
| put call | 6.7 |
| implied vol | 3.9 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 4.5 |
| debt equity | 8.7 |
- ▸Above max pain $85
Catalyst
2.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 1.1 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.08
Upside
-1.0%
Downside
12.3%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 77
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.64>1.3, MCap $3.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.2 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:-0.1=NEGATIVE.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.2, Momentum at 6.9, and Sentiment at 5.7; the weakest are Catalyst at 2.8, Growth at 3.2, and Technical at 3.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.08 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.