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MHMcGraw Hill, Inc.Sell5.3·$13.66
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

McGraw Hill presents an unusual combination of deeply depressed valuation and a three-quarter earnings-beat streak, yet a confirmed death cross, declining revenue, and a risk composite far below the minimum acceptable level mean the technical and risk profile fully overrides the fundamental appeal, keeping new capital on the sidelines.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Analyst Gap→Stable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jun 11, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.66: Risk below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 15.50; Negative price momentum.

McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in more than 100 countries and 80 languages. Revenue totaled $2,102.8 million for fiscal 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), split between K-12 (~42%), Higher... Read more

$13.66+14.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#12 of 14 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield16.67%
Stop $12.70Analyst target $15.59(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst consensus$17.92+31.2%12 analysts
$15.59Analyst target
$13.66price
$17.92mean
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.66: Risk below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 15.50; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.5
P/E (Fwd)6.6
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C15.50bearish
IV108%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
3.5
Value Rank
3.9

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
1.6
Volatility
2.3
Short Interest
4.9
Days To Cover
6.5
Elevated put/call: 15.50High IV: 108%

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.2
Macd
3.9
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.46Resistance $14.88

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+14.1%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.66: Risk below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 15.50; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.70. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MH stock price target?

Analyst target: $15.59 (+14.1% upside). Prior stop was $12.70. Stop-loss: $12.70.

What are the risks of investing in MH?

Risk below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is MH overvalued or undervalued?

McGraw Hill, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.5 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MH?

21 analysts cover MH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $18.

What does McGraw Hill, Inc. do?McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional...

McGraw Hill provides educational content and digital learning platforms for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in more than 100 countries and 80 languages. Revenue totaled $2,102.8 million for fiscal 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), split between K-12 (~42%), Higher Education (~42%), Global Professional (~7%), and International (~9%), with 26.7 million paid digital users.

Related stocks: COUR (Coursera, Inc.) · PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · CVSA (Covista Inc.) · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.)
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