Value
9.1/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.7 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 6.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.01
- ▸Attractively valued
MH · Why this verdict
Why McGraw Hill (MH) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 2.4 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 3.2 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.3 |
| FCF quality | 8.9 |
| Moat | 4.6 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 25%, FCF yield 22.8%)
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
3.6/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.6 |
Momentum
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 8.2 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.5 |
| Volume | 3.7 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.1 |
| Analyst rating | 8.4 |
| Price target | 9.7 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.43 (n=2)
- ▸Analyst upside: 57%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.3 |
| quality rank | 0.3 |
| growth rank | 2.7 |
Technical
1.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.0 |
| support resistance | 0.8 |
| 52w position | 4.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
1.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.5 |
| days to cover | 1.5 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 1.5 |
Catalyst
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings in 2 days
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Extreme risk factors.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.6>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.6>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.50
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.6>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
2.59
Upside
+36.9%
Downside
14.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.3B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.1 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.1, Sentiment at 8.4, and Catalyst at 7.2; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 1.6, Technical at 1.7, and Peer rank at 2.6. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.59 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.