MDA Space shows near-perfect balance-sheet mechanics and volume accumulation, but weak growth and a stock price already above its analyst target keep the engine's overall score at a weak 4.8 out of 10.
Thesis pillars
- Near Perfect Piotroski Quality→Stable
- Weak Growth→Stable
- Valuation Ceiling→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026
MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.31: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.92; Below-average business quality.
MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers satellite communications solutions, such as space-based broadband Internet, direct-to-device satellite communication, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.31: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.92; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — MDA Space Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS MDA Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Surges Past Estimates, Stock Declines Despite Strong Beat - SaaS Earnings Trends - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et positive
- NEWS MDA Q1 2026 Earnings: EPS Surges Past Estimates, Stock Declines Despite Strong Beat - Earnings Cycle Outlook - dars.gov. — dars.gov.et positive
- NEWS Registration Open for 2027 MDA Clinical & Scientific Conference, Showcasing Rapid Advances in Neuromuscular Research, Ca — Muscular Dystrophy Association neutral
- NEWS MDA Space (TSX:MDA) Lands Expanded Telesat Role As Its Undervalued Narrative Gets Tested - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS MDA Space Raises C$600 Million in Notes to Fund Blue Canyon Acquisition - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.31: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.92; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.26. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $39.81 (+35.8% upside). Prior stop was $27.26. Stop-loss: $27.26.
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).
MDA Space Ltd. trades at a P/E of 51.4 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover MDA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $47.
What does MDA Space Ltd. do?MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle...
MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers satellite communications solutions, such as space-based broadband Internet, direct-to-device satellite communication, and IoT connectivity; MDA AURORA, a software-defined digital satellite product line; and autonomous robotics systems and services used to operate in space and on the surfaces of the Moon and Mars. The company also provides robotic systems, robotic interfaces, tooling, robotic ground control stations, and operations services; electro-optic and light detection and ranging sensors, vision and targeting systems, guidance, navigation, and control subsystems and planetary rover locomotion subsystems; MDA SKYMAKER, a suite of scalable and modular space robotics; and Canadarm3, a robotics system. In addition, it offers satellite-generated imagery and data to deliver critical and value-added insights for end users, such as national security, climate change monitoring, and maritime surveillance; collection, processing, and dissemination of Earth imagery data from space; defense command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions, including command and control systems and airborne surveillance solutions; aeronautical navigation information solutions; and long endurance uncrewed aerial vehicle surveillance services. Further, operates as an owner and operator of the RADARSAT-2 Earth observation satellite; and is involved in the operation of MDA CHORUS, an Earth observation mission. It serves governments and space agencies, commercial space companies, and defense and aerospace prime contractors in the space industry. The company was formerly known as MDA Ltd. and changed its name to MDA Space Ltd. in May 2024. MDA Space Ltd. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Brampton, Canada.