MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Capital Markets
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
MARA Holdings is an energy and digital infrastructure company operating 18 data centers across 4 continents with ~1.9 GW total capacity, using Bitcoin mining as a flexible workload to monetize power. Revenue is primarily derived from Bitcoin mining and bitcoin lending... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductbitcoin mining revenue10-K Item 1A: 'because our revenue is primarily derived from mining bitcoin, our profitability fluctuates in direct correlation with bitcoin price movements'
- HIGHSupplierChina-based mining hardware manufacturers10-K Item 1A: 'The global supply of miners is unpredictable and presently heavily dependent on manufacturers based in China.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOWTalent, Culture and Compensation Committee approved new RSU and PSU award agreement forms under the 2018 Equity Incentive Plan, effective February 20, 2026. Routine compensatory arrangement update; no officer changes.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Revenue shrinking — -5.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -144.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Prior stop was $11.15. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.33 (+19.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.15. Stop-loss: $11.15.
Concentration risk — Product: bitcoin mining revenue; Concentration risk — Supplier: China-based mining hardware manufacturers; Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).
MARA Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover MARA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $16.
What does MARA Holdings, Inc. do?MARA Holdings is an energy and digital infrastructure company operating 18 data centers across 4 continents with ~1.9...
MARA Holdings is an energy and digital infrastructure company operating 18 data centers across 4 continents with ~1.9 GW total capacity, using Bitcoin mining as a flexible workload to monetize power. Revenue is primarily derived from Bitcoin mining and bitcoin lending arrangements; the company is also building AI/HPC capabilities through its Exaion acquisition and a Starwood joint venture.