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MARAMARA Holdings, Inc.Sell3.4·$14.10+3.59%
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MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.10: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality.

MARA Holdings is a digital energy and infrastructure company mining bitcoin as its primary revenue source, operating ~490,000 mining rigs across 18 data centers on 4 continents with 66.4 EH/s energized hashrate as of December 31, 2025. The company held 53,822 bitcoin ($4.7... Read more

$14.10+8.6% A.UpsideScore 3.4/10#40 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-9.89%
Stop $13.09Target $15.29(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$17.57+24.6%10 analysts
$15.29our TP
$14.10price
$17.57mean
$7
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.10: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — MARA Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-16.3
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA-10.0
Profit Mgn-234.8%
ROE-67.3%
Rev Growth-18.4%
Beta5.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -18.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -18%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
2.6

Unprofitable operations — net margin -234.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
3.2
Piotroski F
3.3
Gross Margin
5.1
Current Ratio
6.5
Cash-burning: FCF -61% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.0
Support Resistance
3.3
Bollinger
3.4
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.53Resistance $15.31

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+8.4%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MARA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.10: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 30%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.35; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.09. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.

What is the MARA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.29 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $13.09. Stop-loss: $13.09.

What are the risks of investing in MARA?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is MARA overvalued or undervalued?

MARA Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MARA?

21 analysts cover MARA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $18.

What does MARA Holdings, Inc. do?MARA Holdings is a digital energy and infrastructure company mining bitcoin as its primary revenue source, operating...

MARA Holdings is a digital energy and infrastructure company mining bitcoin as its primary revenue source, operating ~490,000 mining rigs across 18 data centers on 4 continents with 66.4 EH/s energized hashrate as of December 31, 2025. The company held 53,822 bitcoin ($4.7 billion at year-end) and is expanding into AI/HPC infrastructure through a Starwood joint venture (1+ GW planned) and the Exaion acquisition (France-based HPC/cloud infrastructure).

Related stocks: FUTU (Futu Holdings Limited) · VIRT (Virtu Financial, Inc.) · EVR (Evercore Inc.) · TIGR (UP Fintech Holding Limited) · MRX (Marex Group plc)
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