Value
6.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 6.1 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
MARA · Why this verdict
Why MARA Holdings (MARA) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score3.4/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 5.1 |
| Current ratio | 6.5 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 3.2 |
| Piotroski F | 3.3 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -61% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
0.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -18%
Momentum
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 1.1 |
| OBV | 1.5 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 3.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.0 |
| Price target | 8.2 |
| erm sentiment | 5.4 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (10.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 25%
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $2,033,654 (0.038% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
0.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.6 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 1.1 |
Technical
2.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.4 |
| support resistance | 3.3 |
| 52w position | 2.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.5 |
| days to cover | 8.6 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 4.3 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 4.9 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 30%
- ▸High IV: 87%
Catalyst
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:4.0<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.57
Upside
+8.6%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 5.38>1.3
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Sentiment at 6.9 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:4.0<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 6.9, Value at 6.0, and Catalyst at 4.2; the weakest are Growth at 0.0, Peer rank at 0.9, and Quality at 2.6. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.57 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.