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BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.Sell6.2·$9.29
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BellRing trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x with roughly 34% upside to analyst targets and a Piotroski score of 9/9, but two of four recent quarters were earnings misses with estimates trending lower and a news-driven caution signal dampening the near-term case for adding to positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Early Technical Recovery Signals→Stable
  • Deep Value With Material Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Miss And Estimate Deterioration↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 18, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BellRing Brands, Inc. (BRBR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.29: Risk below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below long-term trend.

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon... Read more

$9.29+25.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield18.62%
Stop $8.64Analyst target $11.61(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst consensus$13.35+43.7%13 analysts
$11.61Analyst target
$9.29price
$13.35mean
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.29: Risk below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.5
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV91%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
2.5
Bollinger
3.2
Gap
6.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.33Resistance $9.93

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+25.0%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRBR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.29: Risk below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.50; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $8.64. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRBR stock price target?

Analyst target: $11.61 (+25.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.64. Stop-loss: $8.64.

What are the risks of investing in BRBR?

Risk below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is BRBR overvalued or undervalued?

BellRing Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRBR?

21 analysts cover BRBR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $13.

What does BellRing Brands, Inc. do?BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize...

BellRing Brands markets protein nutrition products under Premier Protein (85.9% of FY2025 net sales) and Dymatize (12.1%) brands, primarily RTD protein shakes (81.7% of net sales) and powders. Net sales reached $2.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with Walmart, Costco, and Amazon together accounting for approximately 74% of net sales.

Related stocks: SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · MAMA (Mama's Creations, Inc.) · OFRM (Once Upon a Farm, PBC) · DAR (Darling Ingredients Inc.)
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