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MMacy's IncSell5.3·$25.48+1.76%
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Macy's Inc (M) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

Macy's, Inc. operates 665 stores under three brands—Macy's, Bloomingdale's, and Bluemercury—serving approximately 40 million active consumers annually across U.S. urban and suburban markets. Revenue is driven by merchandise sales across apparel, cosmetics, and home categories,... Read more

$25.48-0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#3 of 4 Department Stores
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.22%
IncomeYield3.02%(5y avg 7.85%)Payout30.52%sustainable
Stop $23.59Target $25.14(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$21.50-15.6%10 analysts
$25.14our TP
$25.48price
$21.50mean
$9

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 2, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Margin of safety: 30%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$6.7B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn2.9%
ROE14.4%
Rev Growth2.1%
Beta1.50
Dividend3.02%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$3-88.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-26Item 5.02LOW
    Richard Clark, Douglas W. Sesler, and Tracey Zhen notified Board of intention not to stand for re-election at May 15, 2026 annual meeting. No disagreement cited. Board size reduced from 13 to 10 members effective at 2026 Annual Meeting.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
9.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
4.2
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.93Resistance $25.65

Price Targets

$24
$25
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-02 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is M stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.59. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the M stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.14 (-0.9% upside). Prior stop was $23.59. Stop-loss: $23.59.

What are the risks of investing in M?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is M overvalued or undervalued?

Macy's Inc trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about M?

19 analysts cover M with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Macy's Inc do?Macy's, Inc. operates 665 stores under three brands—Macy's, Bloomingdale's, and Bluemercury—serving approximately 40...

Macy's, Inc. operates 665 stores under three brands—Macy's, Bloomingdale's, and Bluemercury—serving approximately 40 million active consumers annually across U.S. urban and suburban markets. Revenue is driven by merchandise sales across apparel, cosmetics, and home categories, totaling $21.8 billion in fiscal 2025; no individual supplier accounts for more than 4% of purchases.

Related stocks: DDS (Dillard's, Inc.) · PLBL (Polibeli Group Ltd) · KSS (Kohl's Corporation) · ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited)
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