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DDSDillard's, Inc.Hold5.9·$610.01-0.70%
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Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $610.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was reincorporated in Texas in 2025). As of January 31, 2026, we operated 271 Dillard's stores, including 28 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com offering... Read more

$610.01+1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 4 Department Stores
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.36%
IncomeYield0.20%(5y avg 0.25%)Payout2.73%sustainable
Stop $567.31Target $618.16(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$537.00-12.0%3 analysts
$618.16our TP
$610.01price
$537.00mean
$465
$650

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $610.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$9.5B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE33.8%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.17
Dividend0.20%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.8
Bollinger
2.8
52w Position
7.2
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $518.05Resistance $630.78

Price Targets

$567
$618
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-25.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DDS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $610.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $618.16 (+1.3%), stop $567.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $618.16 (+1.3% upside). Target $618.16 (+1.3%), stop $567.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $567.31.

What are the risks of investing in DDS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is DDS overvalued or undervalued?

Dillard's, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DDS?

11 analysts cover DDS with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $537.

What does Dillard's, Inc. do?The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was...

The Company, originally founded in 1938 by William T. Dillard, was incorporated in Delaware in 1964 (and was reincorporated in Texas in 2025). As of January 31, 2026, we operated 271 Dillard's stores, including 28 clearance centers, and an Internet store at dillards.com offering a wide selection of merchandise including fashion apparel for women, men and children, accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods. The Company also operates a general contracti

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