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ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings LimiteHold7.4·$34.10+2.19%
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Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite (ATAT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on... Read more

$34.10+34.3% A.UpsideScore 7.4/10#1 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield41.01%
IncomeYield1.60%Payout42.22%sustainable
Stop $31.49Target $45.44(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$50.49+48.1%15 analysts
$45.44our TP
$34.10price
$50.49mean
$58

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 7.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.4/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA0.1
Profit Mgn17.2%
ROE52.9%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta0.63
Dividend1.60%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 160.0%
GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.41Resistance $38.13

Price Targets

$31
$45
A.Upside+33.3%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATAT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $45.44 (+33.3%), stop $31.49 (−8.3%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 7.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.44 (+34.3% upside). Target $45.44 (+33.3%), stop $31.49 (−8.3%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $31.49.

What are the risks of investing in ATAT?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is ATAT overvalued or undervalued?

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ATAT?

25 analysts cover ATAT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite do?Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of...

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on behalf of franchisees, as well as sells hotel supplies and other products. It also operates travel agency. Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Related stocks: HTHT (H World Group Limited) · WH (Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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