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MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

MINISO Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of design-led lifestyle and pop toy products in Mainland China, the rest of Asia, North and Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers products in various... Read more

$16.60+36.5% upside
Score 7.2/10Entry $16.57Target $22.66Reward/Risk 7.2:1

TrendMatrix rates MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) as Buy (Wait for Entry) with high confidence. The stock trades at $16.60 with +36.5% upside to the $22.66 price target. Overall score: 7.2/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 7.2:1.

Passes 3/5 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val9.0Qual6.2Grw9.8Mom4.4Sent8.0Ins5.0Peer7.0Tech5.8Risk7.47.2OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)16.4
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE21.2%
Rev Growth28.2%
Beta0.20
Dividend3.76%
Analysts22
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MNSO stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) as Buy (Wait for Entry) with high confidence. Score 7.2/10. Entry target: $16.57.

What is the MNSO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.66 (+36.5% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 7.2:1. Stop-loss: $15.76.

What are the risks of investing in MNSO?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is MNSO overvalued or undervalued?

MINISO Group Holding Limited trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MNSO?

22 analysts cover MNSO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $27.

What does MINISO Group Holding Limited do?MINISO Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of design-led...

MINISO Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and wholesale of design-led lifestyle and pop toy products in Mainland China, the rest of Asia, North and Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers products in various categories, including home decor products, small electronics, textiles, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care products, snacks, fragrances and perfumes, and stationeries and gifts under the MINISO brand; and blind boxes, toy bricks, model figures, model kits, collectible dolls, Ichiban Kuji, and other popular toys under the TOP TOY brand. It also engages in brand licensing activity; and online sale of lifestyle products. MINISO Group Holding Limited was founded in 2013 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

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49 NEUTRAL
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $16.25Res $18.84

Price Targets

$16
$17
$23
Upside+36.5%
Reward/Risk7.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 days - binary event risk
! MOMENTUM:4.4<5.0
! DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
RECOVERYSuitability: Moderate
Risk/Reward 7.3>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 4.4<5.0
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)