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Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores

Sell if holding. At $14.68, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 3.6%.

Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and home products through its stores and website. The company provides its products primarily under the brand names of Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow,... Read more

$14.68+3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#2 of 4 Department Stores
Stop $13.64Target $15.19(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$17.46+18.9%12 analysts
$15.19our TP
$14.68price
$17.46mean
$8
$41

Sell if holding. At $14.68, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 60%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.0
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth-4.2%
Beta1.49
Dividend3.53%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.65bullish
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$7-52.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
7.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.8
Bollinger
3.8
Support Resistance
4.5
Gap
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.85Resistance $16.17

Price Targets

$14
$15
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-28 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KSS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $14.68, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 3.6%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $13.64. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KSS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.19 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $13.64. Stop-loss: $13.64.

What are the risks of investing in KSS?

Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Negative momentum.

Is KSS overvalued or undervalued?

Kohl's Corporation trades at a P/E of 6.0 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KSS?

21 analysts cover KSS with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Kohl's Corporation do?Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories,...

Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and home products through its stores and website. The company provides its products primarily under the brand names of Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow, FLX, Jumping Beans, SO, Sonoma Goods for Life, and Tek Gear, as well as LC Lauren Conrad, Nine West, and Simply Vera Vera Wang. Kohl's Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.

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