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KSSKohl's CorporationSell4.7·$17.09-5.40%
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Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.09: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality.

Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and home products through its stores and website. The company provides its products primarily under the brand names of Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow,... Read more

$17.09+4.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#4 of 4 Department Stores
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield39.41%
IncomeYield2.77%(5y avg 7.34%)Payout21.01%sustainable
Stop $15.88Target $17.76(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$18.08+5.8%12 analysts
$17.76our TP
$17.09price
$18.08mean
$9
$41

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.09: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.6
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE7.0%
Rev Growth-2.0%
Beta1.48
Dividend2.77%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$3-85.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -2.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
6.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
1.9
52w Position
3.9
Gap
7.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.6
Net Margin
0.9
Roa
1.5
Roe
2.3
Moat
3.9
Gross Margin
4.1
Current Ratio
5.4
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 296% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.29Resistance $18.12

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KSS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.09: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $15.88. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KSS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.76 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $15.88. Stop-loss: $15.88.

What are the risks of investing in KSS?

Target reached (-7.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is KSS overvalued or undervalued?

Kohl's Corporation trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KSS?

21 analysts cover KSS with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Kohl's Corporation do?Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories,...

Kohl's Corporation operates as an omnichannel retailer in the United States. It offers apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and home products through its stores and website. The company provides its products primarily under the brand names of Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow, FLX, Jumping Beans, SO, Sonoma Goods for Life, and Tek Gear, as well as LC Lauren Conrad, Nine West, and Simply Vera Vera Wang. Kohl's Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.

Related stocks: DDS (Dillard's, Inc.) · M (Macy's Inc) · PLBL (Polibeli Group Ltd) · MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited) · ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite)
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