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LTC Properties, Inc. (LTC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

LTC Properties is a Maryland REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare properties through ownership, sale-leasebacks, mortgage financing, joint ventures, and structured finance. Revenue comes from lease rentals (~44.2% of 2025 revenue), mortgage interest, and fees from... Read more

$38.55+1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#11 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Stop $37.22Target $39.12(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$41.29+7.1%7 analysts
$39.12our TP
$38.55price
$41.29mean
$45

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.2
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA19.4
Profit Mgn45.8%
ROE11.2%
Rev Growth-19.0%
Beta0.61
Dividend5.97%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMTenanttop three operators25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25.3% of our revenues from leases and interest income from real estate investments were generated from three operators'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -19.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -19%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.25Resistance $39.92

Price Targets

$37
$39
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LTC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.55 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $37.22. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.12 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $37.22. Stop-loss: $37.22.

What are the risks of investing in LTC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LTC overvalued or undervalued?

LTC Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LTC?

12 analysts cover LTC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $41.

What does LTC Properties, Inc. do?LTC Properties is a Maryland REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare properties through ownership,...

LTC Properties is a Maryland REIT investing in seniors housing and healthcare properties through ownership, sale-leasebacks, mortgage financing, joint ventures, and structured finance. Revenue comes from lease rentals (~44.2% of 2025 revenue), mortgage interest, and fees from SHOP properties under RIDEA structures; diversified by operator and geography.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · CTRE (CareTrust REIT, Inc.)