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LTCLTC Properties, Inc.Sell4.8·$36.82-1.39%
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LTC Properties, Inc. (LTC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: seniors housing and health care properties.

LTC Properties is a healthcare REIT investing in seniors housing and skilled nursing facilities through triple-net leases, sale-leasebacks, mortgage loans, and a RIDEA-structure SHOP segment added in Q2 2025. Total investment portfolio carrying value was $2.0 billion as of... Read more

$36.82+3.5% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#11 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield12.26%
IncomeYield6.11%(5y avg 6.46%)Payout89.41%
Stop $34.98Target $38.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$41.14+11.7%7 analysts
$38.12our TP
$36.82price
$41.14mean
$45

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: seniors housing and health care properties. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: seniors housing and health care properties
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)22.7
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn40.2%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth-19.0%
Beta0.57
Dividend6.11%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMTenanttop three operators25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25.3% of our revenues from leases and interest income from real estate investments were generated from three operators'
  • HIGHPropertyseniors housing and health care properties
    10-K Item 1: 'Our investment policy is to invest primarily in seniors housing and health care properties'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -19.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -19%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.52Resistance $38.90

Price Targets

$35
$38
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LTC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: seniors housing and health care properties. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $34.98. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.12 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $34.98. Stop-loss: $34.98.

What are the risks of investing in LTC?

Concentration risk — Property Type: seniors housing and health care properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LTC overvalued or undervalued?

LTC Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 22.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LTC?

12 analysts cover LTC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $41.

What does LTC Properties, Inc. do?LTC Properties is a healthcare REIT investing in seniors housing and skilled nursing facilities through triple-net...

LTC Properties is a healthcare REIT investing in seniors housing and skilled nursing facilities through triple-net leases, sale-leasebacks, mortgage loans, and a RIDEA-structure SHOP segment added in Q2 2025. Total investment portfolio carrying value was $2.0 billion as of December 31, 2025; revenue comes from rental income, interest on loans, and SHOP resident fees.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · SILA (Sila Realty Trust, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.)
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