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AHRAmerican Healthcare REIT, Inc.Sell5.7·$47.01+0.43%
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American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.01: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

American Healthcare REIT acquires, owns, and operates clinical healthcare real estate—primarily senior housing (ISHC/SHOP), skilled nursing facilities, and outpatient medical buildings—across the U.S., UK, and Isle of Man, employing approximately 121 people as of December 31,... Read more

$47.01+8.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.97%
IncomeYield2.14%Payout169.49%
Stop $43.97Target $51.20(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$58.85+25.2%13 analysts
$51.20our TP
$47.01price
$58.85mean
$67

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.01: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About American Healthcare REIT, Inc.

About American Healthcare REIT, Inc.

American Healthcare REIT holds a portfolio spanning integrated senior health campuses (ISHC), senior housing operating properties (SHOP), skilled nursing facilities, and outpatient medical buildings across the United States, United Kingdom, and Isle of Man. The company raised $772.8 million through a February 2024 NYSE IPO under ticker "AHR" and employed approximately 121 staff at December 31, 2025. Trilogy Management Services manages all ISHC properties, which contributed 55.5% of annualized net operating income at year-end 2025, with the Trilogy-managed portfolio accounting for 45.3% of aggregate contract purchase price.

AHR earns revenue through two structures. At triple-net leased properties, tenants pay rent and bear operating expenses, with most leases expected to carry five-year-or-longer terms and renewal options. SHOP and ISHC properties operate under the RIDEA structure permitted by the REIT Investment Diversification and Empowerment Act of 2007, allowing the company's taxable REIT subsidiaries to engage third-party operators. Short-term resident leases at RIDEA properties—typically one year or less—allow operators to adjust rents with market conditions. Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement rates are a material input to operator economics; reimbursement rates that do not rise as quickly as the cost of providing services could adversely affect tenants' ability to make rental payments and AHR's profitability from RIDEA operations. On an opportunistic basis, AHR also holds secured mortgage and mezzanine loans as a secondary investment activity.

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The reliance on Trilogy Management Services is the most specific concentration risk disclosed in the filing. The company states that replacing Trilogy would require approval from applicable regulatory authorities and one or more mortgage lenders, and that any transition would likely disrupt staffing, financial reporting, and operations. If Trilogy experiences financial, legal, or accounting difficulties—including potential acceleration of indebtedness or insolvency proceedings—the impact would fall directly on management of AHR's largest NOI-producing segment, an outcome the 10-K characterizes as potentially having a material adverse effect.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

From American Healthcare REIT, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Trilogy Manager (55.5%)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)79.3
P/E (Fwd)54.4
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA25.6
Profit Mgn4.2%
ROE3.5%
Rev Growth20.9%
Beta0.81
Dividend2.14%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV34%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyTrilogy Manager56%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Trilogy Manager manages all of the day-to-day operations for all of our ISHC ... contributed approximately 55.5% of our annualized base rent/annualized net operating income, or NOI'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    8-K/A amending Feb 4, 2026 filing. Jeffrey T. Hanson (Interim CEO/Chairman) entered compensation agreement retroactive to Feb 4, 2026: base salary $70,666.67/month, 120% target annual bonus pro-rated for service period. Prosky remains on medical leave; no return timeline disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.8
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roe
1.2
Roa
1.4
Net Margin
2.1
Operating Margin
2.6
Current Ratio
4.0
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 357% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.81Resistance $51.72

Price Targets

$44
$51
A.Upside+8.9%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.01: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $43.97. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.20 (+8.9% upside). Prior stop was $43.97. Stop-loss: $43.97.

What are the risks of investing in AHR?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Trilogy Manager (55.5%); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is AHR overvalued or undervalued?

American Healthcare REIT, Inc. trades at a P/E of 79.3 (forward 54.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AHR?

10 analysts cover AHR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $59.

What does American Healthcare REIT, Inc. do?American Healthcare REIT acquires, owns, and operates clinical healthcare real estate—primarily senior housing...

American Healthcare REIT acquires, owns, and operates clinical healthcare real estate—primarily senior housing (ISHC/SHOP), skilled nursing facilities, and outpatient medical buildings—across the U.S., UK, and Isle of Man, employing approximately 121 people as of December 31, 2025. Revenue flows from triple-net leases and RIDEA-structured operations, with all integrated senior health campuses managed by Trilogy Management Services, which contributed approximately 55.5% of annualized NOI at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · SILA (Sila Realty Trust, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · VTR (Ventas, Inc.)
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