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LSCCLattice Semiconductor CorporatiSell5.4·$147.80+3.46%
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Lattice Semiconductor Corporati (LSCC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. At $147.80, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%).

Lattice Semiconductor develops and sells low-power programmable FPGAs for Communications, Computing, Industrial, Automotive, and Consumer markets, operating as a fabless semiconductor company. Revenue comes from product and IP licensing sales primarily through distributors,... Read more

$147.80+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#21 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.60%
Stop $134.41Target $152.70(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$146.92-0.6%13 analysts
$152.70our TP
$147.80price
$146.92mean
$105
$175

Sell if holding. At $147.80, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1032.4
P/E (Fwd)62.5
Mkt Cap$19.8B
EV/EBITDA280.8
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth42.2%
Beta1.79
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV106%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerdistributors84%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023, sales to distributors accounted for approximately 84%, 89%, and 87%, respectively, of our net revenue'
  • HIGHGeographicforeign sales83%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenue from foreign sales as a percentage of total revenue was 83% for fiscal 2025, and 82% for both fiscal 2024 and 2023'
  • HIGHSupplierAdvanced Semiconductor Engineering (ASE)
    10-K Item 1: 'All of our assembly and test operations are performed by industry-leading outsourced assembly and test suppliers ("OSATs") with our primary supplier being Advanced Semiconductor Engineering, Inc. ("ASE")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 1.01MEDIUM
    LSCC entered Merger Agreement to acquire AMI TopCo, Inc. for $1 billion cash plus ~$650 million in LSCC shares (5.2–6.1M shares, including $57.3M in employee equity). Transaction on cash-free/debt-free basis.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOW
    Tonya Stevens, Chief Accounting Officer, resigned effective March 29, 2026. No disagreement with Company operations, policies or practices cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
1.7
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 62.5xPEG: 0.19Expensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
3.0
Growth Rank
7.3
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $117.35Resistance $155.82

Price Targets

$134
$153
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LSCC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $147.80, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $134.41. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the LSCC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $152.70 (+5.7% upside). Prior stop was $134.41. Stop-loss: $134.41.

What are the risks of investing in LSCC?

Concentration risk — Customer: distributors (84.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: foreign sales (83.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LSCC overvalued or undervalued?

Lattice Semiconductor Corporati trades at a P/E of 1032.4 (forward 62.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LSCC?

21 analysts cover LSCC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $147.

What does Lattice Semiconductor Corporati do?Lattice Semiconductor develops and sells low-power programmable FPGAs for Communications, Computing, Industrial,...

Lattice Semiconductor develops and sells low-power programmable FPGAs for Communications, Computing, Industrial, Automotive, and Consumer markets, operating as a fabless semiconductor company. Revenue comes from product and IP licensing sales primarily through distributors, which accounted for approximately 84% of net revenue in FY2025; foreign sales were 83% of revenue in FY2025.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.) · MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporat)
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