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LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.Sell5.4·$208.93-0.86%
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Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $208.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Lowe's Companies, Inc. and subsidiaries (the Company or Lowe's) is a Fortune® 100 company and the world's second largest home improvement retailer. As of January 30, 2026, Lowe's operated 1,759 home improvement stores and outlets in the United States, representing approximately... Read more

$208.93+16.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#1 of 3 Home Improvement Retail
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.07%
IncomeYield2.37%(5y avg 1.79%)Payout40.57%sustainable
Stop $197.30Target $242.63(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$263.73+26.2%33 analysts
$242.63our TP
$208.93price
$263.73mean
$300

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $208.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-08

Recent Developments — Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-08T21:56:34Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$118.2B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.86
Dividend2.37%
Rating analysts41

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.94bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$145-30.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.9
Revenue Growth
5.1
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $203.40Resistance $229.10

Price Targets

$197
$243
A.Upside+16.1%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LOW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $208.93 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $197.30. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the LOW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $242.63 (+16.1% upside). Prior stop was $197.30. Stop-loss: $197.30.

What are the risks of investing in LOW?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is LOW overvalued or undervalued?

Lowe's Companies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LOW?

41 analysts cover LOW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $264.

What does Lowe's Companies, Inc. do?Lowe's Companies, Inc. and subsidiaries (the Company or Lowe's) is a Fortune® 100 company and the world's second...

Lowe's Companies, Inc. and subsidiaries (the Company or Lowe's) is a Fortune® 100 company and the world's second largest home improvement retailer. As of January 30, 2026, Lowe's operated 1,759 home improvement stores and outlets in the United States, representing approximately 196 million square feet of retail selling space.

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