Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. At $540.27, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War (DoW) (63.0%).
Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense technology company operating in four segments — Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space — building military aircraft, missile and air-defense systems, helicopters, radars, satellites and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $540.27, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War (DoW) (63.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-14Recent Developments — Lockheed Martin Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Lockheed Martin Corp Stock (LMT) Moved Down by 3.17% on Apr 22: Drivers Behind the Movement - TradingKey — TradingKey negative
- NEWS Forget Lockheed Martin. This Defense Stock Will Double by 2028. - 24/7 Wall St. — 24/7 Wall St. negative
- NEWS Down 6.3% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why Lockheed (LMT) Looks Ripe for a Turnaround - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Bernstein raises Lockheed Martin stock price target on missile growth - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Lockheed Martin (LMT) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. Government72%10-K Item 1A: 'We derived 72% of our total consolidated sales from the U.S. Government in 2025, including 63% from the Department of War (DoW)'
- HIGHCustomerDepartment of War (DoW)63%10-K Item 1A: 'We derived 72% of our total consolidated sales from the U.S. Government in 2025, including 63% from the Department of War (DoW)'
- MEDIUMProductF-35 program27%10-K Item 1: 'The F-35 program is our largest program, generating 27% of our total consolidated sales'
- MEDIUMSuppliersingle or sole sourced components10-K Item 1A: 'a significant number of the components or supplies used are currently single or sole sourced'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $540.27, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War (DoW) (63.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $517.85. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $562.64 (+4.1% upside). Prior stop was $517.85. Stop-loss: $517.85.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (72.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Department of War (DoW) (63.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.1%.
Lockheed Martin Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.2 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
What does Lockheed Martin Corporation do?Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense technology company operating in four segments — Aeronautics, Missiles...
Lockheed Martin is a global aerospace and defense technology company operating in four segments — Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space — building military aircraft, missile and air-defense systems, helicopters, radars, satellites and strategic systems. It derived 72% of 2025 consolidated sales from the U.S. Government, including 63% from the Department of War, with its largest program, the F-35, generating 27% of total sales. Primary competitors include Boeing, General Dynamics, L3Harris, Northrop Grumman and RTX Corporation.