Heico Corporation (HEI-A) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $210.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation.
HEICO makes FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and electronic equipment for aviation, defense, space, and medical markets (Electronic Technologies Group, 30%). Revenue comes from parts sold at... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $210.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicforeign customers38%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 derived from sales to foreign customers'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $210.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $196.61. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $238.00 (+13.1% upside). Prior stop was $196.61. Stop-loss: $196.61.
Expensive valuation; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 41.3 (forward 48.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover HEI-A with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $280.
What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO makes FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025...
HEICO makes FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and electronic equipment for aviation, defense, space, and medical markets (Electronic Technologies Group, 30%). Revenue comes from parts sold at lower prices than OEMs plus repair/overhaul services; approximately 38% of fiscal 2025 net sales came from foreign customers.