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LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $30.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement parts, components and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles, and specialty aftermarket products and accessories to improve the performance,... Read more

$30.60+13.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $29.20Target $34.96(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$40.19+31.3%8 analysts
$34.96our TP
$30.60price
$40.19mean
$45

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $30.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta
Dividend3.80%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C379.19bearish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$23-26.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    LKQ CORPORATION | By: | /s/ Matthew J. McKay | Matthew J. McKay | Senior Vice President, General Coun [... truncated]
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.2
Quality Rank
5.1
Value Rank
7.2
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.13Resistance $32.52

Price Targets

$29
$35
A.Upside+14.2%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LKQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $30.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $29.20. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LKQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.96 (+13.6% upside). Prior stop was $29.20. Stop-loss: $29.20.

What are the risks of investing in LKQ?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is LKQ overvalued or undervalued?

LKQ Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LKQ?

15 analysts cover LKQ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $40.

What does LKQ Corporation do?LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement...

LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement parts, components and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles, and specialty aftermarket products and accessories to improve the performance, functionality and appearance of vehicles.

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