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LKQLKQ CorporationSell5.8·$26.50+2.00%
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LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $26.50: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement parts, components and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles, and specialty aftermarket products and accessories to improve the performance,... Read more

$26.50+35.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.83%
IncomeYield4.58%Payout60.00%sustainable
Stop $24.80Target $35.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$40.81+54.0%8 analysts
$35.51our TP
$26.50price
$40.81mean
$48

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $26.50: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 36%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$6.7B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta0.82
Dividend4.58%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.20bearish
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$18-34.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
2.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 458.0%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.8
Support Resistance
4.1
Bollinger
4.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.4
Quality Rank
4.6
Value Rank
8.2
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $23.70Resistance $27.91

Price Targets

$25
$36
A.Upside+34.0%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LKQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $26.50: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.80. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LKQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.51 (+35.5% upside). Prior stop was $24.80. Stop-loss: $24.80.

What are the risks of investing in LKQ?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is LKQ overvalued or undervalued?

LKQ Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LKQ?

15 analysts cover LKQ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $41.

What does LKQ Corporation do?LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement...

LKQ Corporation ("LKQ," the "Company" or "we") is a global distributor of vehicle products, including replacement parts, components and systems used in the repair and maintenance of vehicles, and specialty aftermarket products and accessories to improve the performance, functionality and appearance of vehicles.

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