Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Technology · Communication Equipment
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1055.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Lumentum is an optical and photonic products company serving cloud data centers, AI/ML infrastructure, telecom, consumer, and industrial markets through its Cloud & Networking and Industrial Tech segments. Revenue comes from optical chips, components, and modules sold to cloud... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1055.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliersole-source suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'some of our suppliers are our sole sources for certain materials, equipment and components'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1055.19, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $1051.86 (-0.3%), stop $982.68 (−7.4%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $1051.86 (-0.5% upside). Target $1051.86 (-0.3%), stop $982.68 (−7.4%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $982.68.
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-3.5% away).
Lumentum Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 158.8 (forward 50.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
30 analysts cover LITE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1081.
What does Lumentum Holdings Inc. do?Lumentum is an optical and photonic products company serving cloud data centers, AI/ML infrastructure, telecom,...
Lumentum is an optical and photonic products company serving cloud data centers, AI/ML infrastructure, telecom, consumer, and industrial markets through its Cloud & Networking and Industrial Tech segments. Revenue comes from optical chips, components, and modules sold to cloud operators, network equipment manufacturers, and industrial OEMs with ~10,562 employees. It acquired Cloud Light Technology in November 2023 to strengthen AI/ML data center positioning.