Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Technology · Communication Equipment
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $738.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: small number of suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Ubiquiti develops and sells networking products for enterprises, service providers, and consumers globally through 100+ distributors in over 75 countries, with revenues of $2.6B in fiscal 2025. Products include WLAN, video surveillance, routing, and switching under the UniFi and... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $738.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: small number of suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 22, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 102d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliersmall number of suppliers10-K Item 1: 'The majority of our product revenues are dependent upon the sale of products that incorporate components from a small number of suppliers'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $738.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: small number of suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 22, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $1077.99 (+45.9%), stop $706.34 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $1077.99 (+45.9% upside). Target $1077.99 (+45.9%), stop $706.34 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $706.34.
Concentration risk — Supplier: small number of suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5.
Ubiquiti Inc. trades at a P/E of 54.1 (forward 44.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
11 analysts cover UI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $754.
What does Ubiquiti Inc. do?Ubiquiti develops and sells networking products for enterprises, service providers, and consumers globally through 100+...
Ubiquiti develops and sells networking products for enterprises, service providers, and consumers globally through 100+ distributors in over 75 countries, with revenues of $2.6B in fiscal 2025. Products include WLAN, video surveillance, routing, and switching under the UniFi and airMAX platforms; no single customer represented 10%+ of revenue. Contract manufacturing is primarily in Vietnam and China, with key components sourced from a limited number of suppliers.