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ZBRAZebra Technologies CorporationSell6.0·$384.70
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zebra Technologies combines a strong earnings beat record and attractive valuation at 11.6x forward earnings with exceptional free cash flow conversion, but a confirmed death-cross technical breakdown with a -4.7% monthly moving average slope and elevated short interest create meaningful near-term downside risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Valuation↑Improving
  • Death Cross Downtrend Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $384.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers, thermal printers and machine vision systems—plus related services and software to retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics customers in 179 countries through... Read more

$384.70-2.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#10 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.15%
Stop $363.98Analyst target $373.37(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$414.85+7.8%15 analysts
$384.70price
$414.85mean
$350
$460

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $384.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.3
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$18.3B
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE15.3%
Rev Growth20.4%
Beta1.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer A29%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer A| 29 | %'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer B15%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer B| 15 | %'
  • LOWCustomerCustomer C15%
    10-K Item 1: 'three customers, who are distributors of the Company's offerings, that individually accounted for more than 10% of our Net sales ... Customer C| 15 | %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting held May 19, 2026, Zebra Technologies stockholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan (2026 LTIP). Routine compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure or board election disclosed in available body text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $365.75Resistance $392.78

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZBRA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $384.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $363.98. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZBRA stock price target?

Analyst target $373.37 reached (−2.9% from $384.70); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $363.98. Stop-loss: $363.98.

What are the risks of investing in ZBRA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is ZBRA overvalued or undervalued?

Zebra Technologies Corporation trades at a P/E of 35.3 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZBRA?

23 analysts cover ZBRA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $415.

What does Zebra Technologies Corporation do?Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers,...

Zebra Technologies designs, manufactures and sells AIDC products—mobile computers, barcode scanners, RFID readers, thermal printers and machine vision systems—plus related services and software to retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics customers in 179 countries through more than 10,000 channel partners. Three distributor customers each exceeded 10% of net sales in 2025 (Customer A at 29%, B and C each at 15%), employing approximately 10,700 people across 129 facilities.

Related stocks: HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp) · CIEN (Ciena Corporation) · DGII (Digi International Inc.) · VIAV (Viavi Solutions Inc.) · LITE (Lumentum Holdings Inc.)
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