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Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-12). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $218.47. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $222.15. Engine's entry $218.47 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (29.0%).

Zebra Technologies is a global leader in Automatic Identification and Data Capture (AIDC), selling mobile computers, barcode printers, scanners, RFID, and workflow software to enterprises in 179 countries through 10,000+ channel partners. In 2025, three distributor customers... Read more

$222.15+40.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#12 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.92%
Entry $218.47(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $202.07Target $292.78(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.6:1
Analyst target$325.31+46.4%16 analysts
$292.78our TP
$222.15price
$325.31mean
$400

Wait for pullback to $218.47. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $222.15. Engine's entry $218.47 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (29.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val7.9Qual5.7Grw2.6Mom2.1Sent7.3Ins5.0Peer4.1Tech6.9Risk5.65.1OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (29.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.6
P/E (Fwd)11.3
Mkt Cap$11.1B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth10.6%
Beta1.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV165%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerCustomer A29%
    10-K Item 1: 'Customer A| 29 | %|'
  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer B15%
    10-K Item 1: 'Customer B| 15 | %|'
  • MEDIUMCustomerCustomer C15%
    10-K Item 1: 'Customer C| 15 | %|'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.2
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dA.R:R 4.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $213.67Resistance $243.69

Price Targets

$202
$218
$293
A.Upside+31.8%
A.R:R4.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZBRA stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $218.47. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $222.15. Engine's entry $218.47 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (29.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $292.78 (+31.8%), stop $202.07 (−9.9%), Setup A.R:R 5.8:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZBRA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $292.78 (+40.3% upside). Target $292.78 (+31.8%), stop $202.07 (−9.9%), Setup A.R:R 5.8:1. Stop-loss: $202.07.

What are the risks of investing in ZBRA?

Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (29.0%).

Is ZBRA overvalued or undervalued?

Zebra Technologies Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ZBRA?

26 analysts cover ZBRA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $325.

What does Zebra Technologies Corporation do?Zebra Technologies is a global leader in Automatic Identification and Data Capture (AIDC), selling mobile computers,...

Zebra Technologies is a global leader in Automatic Identification and Data Capture (AIDC), selling mobile computers, barcode printers, scanners, RFID, and workflow software to enterprises in 179 countries through 10,000+ channel partners. In 2025, three distributor customers each exceeded 10% of net sales: Customer A (29%), Customer B (15%), and Customer C (15%).

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