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Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-13). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $99.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide, organized into three geographic segments (Americas, EMEA, APJC) and serving enterprises, public sector, and service providers. Revenue comes from hardware, SaaS... Read more

$99.75+18.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.60%
IncomeYield1.70%(5y avg 2.82%)Payout58.99%sustainable
Entry $82.07(support + ATR)Stop $78.45Target $96.85(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1Setup A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$89.54-10.2%22 analysts
$96.85our TP
$99.75price
$89.54mean
$75
$110

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $99.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $98.72 has reached target $96.85. No upside to wait for. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.5
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$389.9B
EV/EBITDA24.9
Profit Mgn18.8%
ROE23.8%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta0.91
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$40-59.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    M. Victoria Wong retiring as SVP and Chief Accounting Officer effective May 19, 2026 (advisory role through July 25). Nichlas A. Fink appointed as successor SVP and CAO effective May 20, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02LOW
    Daniel H. Schulman resigned from Cisco's Board effective May 21, 2026, due to increased demands of his new CEO role at Verizon Communications. Peter A. Shimer appointed to Board effective April 6, 2026, and named to Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 8.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.88Resistance $98.83

Price Targets

$78
$82
$97
A.Upside-2.9%
A.R:R-1.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.4% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $99.75, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $98.72 has reached target $96.85. No upside to wait for. Target $96.85 (-2.9%), stop $78.45 (−27.2%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.85 (+18.0% upside). Target $96.85 (-2.9%), stop $78.45 (−27.2%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $78.45.

What are the risks of investing in CSCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Is CSCO overvalued or undervalued?

Cisco Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.5 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CSCO?

32 analysts cover CSCO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Cisco Systems, Inc. do?Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide,...

Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide, organized into three geographic segments (Americas, EMEA, APJC) and serving enterprises, public sector, and service providers. Revenue comes from hardware, SaaS subscriptions, and technical support and advanced services; Cisco acquired Splunk in fiscal 2024 to strengthen security analytics. With approximately 25,600 worldwide sales and marketing employees, the company sells both directly and through channel partners.

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