Skip to main content
LEN-BLennar CorporationSell4.5·$82.46
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The Class B shares of this residential homebuilder face a hard technical block from a death cross, momentum at the floor of acceptable levels, and no upside remaining to the near-term target — the setup is structurally unfavorable and the quality profile falls short of investment-grade thresholds.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Investment Grade Quality→Stable
  • Dividend Payout Unsustainable→Stable
  • Death Cross Hard Block→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jan 28, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lennar Corporation (LEN-B) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.46: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we... Read more

$82.46+15.0% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#14 of 19 Residential Construction
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield6.26%
IncomeYield2.40%(5y avg 1.58%)Payout37.88%sustainable
Stop $76.69Default target $94.83A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.46: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Lennar Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 8, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

Generated 2026-07-08T23:53:54Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)5.1
Mkt Cap$19.6B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn4.1%
ROE6.0%
Rev Growth-8.7%
Beta1.38
Dividend2.40%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -8.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.3
Declining revenue: -9%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.0
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
3.4

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roe
2.0
Net Margin
2.0
Roa
2.2
Operating Margin
2.3
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
5.0
Fcf Quality
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $71.27Resistance $85.29

Price Targets

$77
$95
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for LEN-B.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEN-B stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.46: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $76.69. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEN-B stock price target?

Default target: $94.83 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $76.69. Stop-loss: $76.69.

What are the risks of investing in LEN-B?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is LEN-B overvalued or undervalued?

Lennar Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEN-B?

27 analysts cover LEN-B with a consensus score of 2.6/5.

What does Lennar Corporation do?We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of...

We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we are a sponsor and manager of funds and joint ventures engaged in development and ownership of multifamily rental properties and a sponsor and manager of a fund engaged in ownership of single-family rental properties.

Related stocks: CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In) · GRBK (Green Brick Partners, Inc.) · MHO (M/I Homes, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › LEN-B

Latest news

No recent news