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LENLennar CorporationSell4.2·$90.45-4.74%
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Lennar Corporation (LEN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we... Read more

$90.45+3.3% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#13 of 16 Residential Construction
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield14.73%
IncomeYield2.11%(5y avg 1.43%)Payout31.35%sustainable
Stop $84.28Target $93.32(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$90.14-0.3%14 analysts
$93.32our TP
$90.45price
$90.14mean
$73
$124

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12

Recent Developments — Lennar Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 8, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jun 11, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-13.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$23.4B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth-13.3%
Beta1.40
Dividend2.11%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$60-33.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -13.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -13%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.9
Growth Rank
3.1
Value Rank
5.3

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.5
Roe
2.7
Net Margin
2.7
Roa
2.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
5.0
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 193% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $81.18Resistance $95.22

Price Targets

$84
$93
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-11 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.45: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $84.28. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.32 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $84.28. Stop-loss: $84.28.

What are the risks of investing in LEN?

Target reached (-13.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is LEN overvalued or undervalued?

Lennar Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEN?

27 analysts cover LEN with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Lennar Corporation do?We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of...

We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we are a sponsor and manager of funds and joint ventures engaged in development and ownership of multifamily rental properties and a sponsor and manager of a fund engaged in ownership of single-family rental properties.

Related stocks: CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In) · MHO (M/I Homes, Inc.) · SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.) · GRBK (Green Brick Partners, Inc.)
Home Stocks LEN

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