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LASRnLIGHT, Inc.Sell5.1·$70.17+0.72%
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nLIGHT, Inc. (LASR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum.

nLIGHT designs, manufactures, and sells high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for aerospace/defense directed energy, microfabrication, and industrial applications. It operates two segments: Laser Products (commercial sales) and Advanced Development (government-funded R&D),... Read more

$70.17+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#29 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.62%
Stop $65.30Target $75.19(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$86.43+23.2%7 analysts
$75.19our TP
$70.17price
$86.43mean
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — nLIGHT, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (75.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single- or limited-source suppliers
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)103.1
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA-3426.8
Profit Mgn-5.1%
ROE-4.6%
Rev Growth55.2%
Beta2.29
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.98neutral
IV106%elevated
Max Pain$15-78.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers75%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top ten customers accounted for approximately 75%, 72% and 66% of our revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle- or limited-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we purchase certain raw materials and components... from single- or limited-source suppliers for which alternative options are limited'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
2.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.9
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
4.2
Growth Rank
8.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
1.0
Forward Pe
1.0
Analyst Target
6.0
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 103.1xPEG: 0.32
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.58Resistance $83.17

Price Targets

$65
$75
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LASR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.17: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $65.30. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LASR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.19 (+7.1% upside). Prior stop was $65.30. Stop-loss: $65.30.

What are the risks of investing in LASR?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (75.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single- or limited-source suppliers; Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is LASR overvalued or undervalued?

nLIGHT, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 103.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LASR?

15 analysts cover LASR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $86.

What does nLIGHT, Inc. do?nLIGHT designs, manufactures, and sells high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for aerospace/defense directed...

nLIGHT designs, manufactures, and sells high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers for aerospace/defense directed energy, microfabrication, and industrial applications. It operates two segments: Laser Products (commercial sales) and Advanced Development (government-funded R&D), with $161.6M backlog as of Dec 31, 2025.

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