Skip to main content
LADRLadder Capital CorpSell5.4·$10.12-1.08%
Open full analysis

Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Sell if holding. At $10.12, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Ladder Capital Corp operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates through three segments: Loans, Securities, and Real Estate. The Loans segment originates and acquires balance sheet loans that provide interim financing to... Read more

$10.12+6.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 17 REIT - Mortgage
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield8.99%(5y avg 8.09%)Payout209.09%
Stop $9.79Target $10.72(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$12.32+21.8%7 analysts
$10.72our TP
$10.12price
$12.32mean
$14

Sell if holding. At $10.12, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.0%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Below 200-MA (28d, -2.3%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.3
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn25.4%
ROE3.7%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.99
Dividend8.99%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
4.5
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.85Resistance $10.30

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LADR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.12, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $9.79. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LADR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.72 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $9.79. Stop-loss: $9.79.

What are the risks of investing in LADR?

Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Below 200-MA (28d, -2.3%).

Is LADR overvalued or undervalued?

Ladder Capital Corp trades at a P/E of 23.3 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LADR?

13 analysts cover LADR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Ladder Capital Corp do?Ladder Capital Corp operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates...

Ladder Capital Corp operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates through three segments: Loans, Securities, and Real Estate. The Loans segment originates and acquires balance sheet loans that provide interim financing to borrowers seeking short-term capital for the acquisition or transition of commercial real estate; originates conduit loans, which are first mortgage loans on commercial real estate properties for sale in commercial mortgage-backed securities securitizations; and invests in note purchase financings, subordinated debt, mezzanine debt, and other structured finance products related to commercial real estate. Its Securities segment invests in CMBS, U.S. Agency securities, corporate bonds, equity securities, and U.S. Treasury securities that are not classified as cash and cash equivalents. The Real Estate segment engages in net leased properties, other diversified real estate, and investments in unconsolidated ventures. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Ladder Capital Corp was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Related stocks: RITM (Rithm Capital Corp.) · EFC (Ellington Financial Inc.) · ORC (Orchid Island Capital, Inc.) · STWD (STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S) · BXMT (Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.)
Home Stocks LADR

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus54d agoEarnings
The Motley Fool54d agoEarnings
StockStory55d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative55d ago
AD HOC NEWS62d ago
MarketBeat61d agoEarnings
Benzinga53d agoEarnings
Benzinga53d ago
Benzinga53d ago
Benzinga53d agoEarnings
Benzinga66d ago