Adamas Trust combines a breakout setup with a favorable reward-to-risk ratio and an earnings catalyst backed by a strong beat streak, but soft momentum, a flagged yield-trap distribution, and proximity to the 52-week high temper the case for adding more.
Thesis pillars
- Favorable Asymmetry With Margin Of Safety→Stable
- Breakout Catalyst Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Yield Trap Warning On Distribution→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.
Adamas Trust, Inc. (formerly New York Mortgage Trust) is an internally-managed mortgage REIT investing across an investment portfolio of Agency RMBS, non-Agency RMBS, single-family and business-purpose residential loans, and multi-family mezzanine investments, plus Constructive,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $10.33 (+13.0%), stop $8.46 (−8.0%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $10.33 (+15.0% upside). Target $10.33 (+13.0%), stop $8.46 (−8.0%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $8.46.
Negative momentum.
Adamas Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.8 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
11 analysts cover ADAM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $12.
What does Adamas Trust, Inc. do?Adamas Trust, Inc. (formerly New York Mortgage Trust) is an internally-managed mortgage REIT investing across an...
Adamas Trust, Inc. (formerly New York Mortgage Trust) is an internally-managed mortgage REIT investing across an investment portfolio of Agency RMBS, non-Agency RMBS, single-family and business-purpose residential loans, and multi-family mezzanine investments, plus Constructive, a wholly-owned business-purpose loan originator operating in 48 states. The company funds its leveraged portfolio primarily through repurchase agreements, reporting a recourse leverage ratio of approximately 5.0-to-1 as of December 31, 2025.